Publications

This publication list is ordered alphabetically by lead author. To obtain a copy of any of these publications contact the relevant team member via the Centre Team page.

Browse publications by year: Current | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011

 

2015

BOOK CHAPTER

Erhardt, R. and S. A. Sisson, In Press: Modelling extremes using approximate Bayesian computation Extreme Value Modelling and Risk Analysis: Methods and Applications, D. Dey and J. Yan, Eds., Chapman & Hall/CRC Press.

Green, D. and L. Webb, 2015: Climate Change, Health and Well-being in Indigenous Australia. . Healthy People, Places and Planet, Eds Butler, Dixon and Capon (ANU Press)
 

CONFERENCE PAPER

Sharples, J., A. Kiss, J. Raposo, D. Viegas, and C. Simpson, 2015: Pyrogenic vorticity from windward and lee slope fires. In T. Weber, M. McPhee, and R. Anderssen, editors, MODSIM2015, 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, pages 291–297, December 2015.

 

JOURNAL ARTICLE

Abram, N. J., B. C. Dixon, M. G. Rosevear, B. Plunkett, M. K. Gagan, W. S. Hantoro, and S. J. Phipps, 2015: Optimised coral reconstructions of the Indian Ocean Dipole. Paleoceanography, 30, 1391-1405. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015PA002810.

Abramowitz, G. and C. H. Bishop, 2015: Climate model dependence and the Ensemble Dependence Transformation of CMIP projections. Journal of Climate, 28, 2332-2348. http://10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00364.1.

Ackerley, D., D. Berry, C. Jakob, M. J. Reeder, and J. Schwendike, 2015: Summertime precipitation over northern Australia in AMIP simulations from CMIP5. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141, 1753-1768. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.2476.

Aiken, C. M., A. Santoso, S. McGregor, and M. H. England, 2015: Optimal forcing of ENSO either  side of the 1970’s climate shift and its implications for predictability. Climate Dynamics, 45, 47-65. http://10.1007/s00382-014-2300-8.

Alexander, K. and S. M. Easterbrook, 2015: The software architecture of climate models: a graphical comparison of CMIP5 and EMICAR5 configurations. Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 1221-1232. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-1221-2015.

Alexander, K., K. J. Meissner, and T. J. Bralower, 2015: Sudden spreading of corrosive bottom water during the Palaeocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum. Nature Geoscience, 8, 458-461. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2430.

Andrys, J., T. J. Lyons, and J. Kala, 2015: Multi-decadal Evaluation of WRF Downscaling Capabilities Over Western Australia in Simulating Rainfall and Temperature Extremes. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 54, 370-394. http://10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0212.1.

Anwar, M. R., D. L. Liu, R. Farquharson, I. Macadam, A. Abadi, J. Finlayson, B. Wan, and T. Ramilan, 2015: Climate change impacts on phenology and yields of five broadacre crops at four climatologically distinct locations in Australia. Agricultural Systems, 132, 133-144. http://10.1016/j.agsy.2014.09.010.

Aoki, S., G. Mizuta, H. Sasaki, Y. Sasai, S. R. Tinroul, and N. L. Bindoff, 2015: Atlantic–Pacific asymmetry of subsurface temperature change and frontal response of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current for the recent three decades. Journal of Oceanography, 71, 623-636. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10872-015-0284-6.

Argueso, D., J. P. Evans, A. J. Pitman, and A. Di Luca, 2015: Effects of city expansion on heat stress under climate change conditions. PLoS ONE, 10, e0117066. http://10.1371/journal.pone.0117066

Avila, F. B., S. Dong, K. P. Menang, J. Rajczak, M. Renom, M. G. Donat, and L. V. Alexander, 2015: Systematic investigation of gridding-related scaling effects on annual statistics of daily temperature and precipitation maxima: A case study for south-east Australia. Weather and Climate Extremes, 9, 6-16

Azorin-Molina, C., S. M. Vicente-Serrano, A. Sanchez-Lorenzo, T. R. McVicar, E. Morán-Tejeda, J. Revuelto, A. El Kenawy, N. Martín-Hernández, and M. Tomas-Burguera, 2015: Atmospheric evaporative demand observations, estimates and driving factors in Spain (1961–2011). Journal of Hydrology, 523, 262-277. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.046.

Bagniewski, W., K. J. Meissner, L. Menviel, and C. E. Brennan, 2015: Quantification of factors impacting seawater and calcite δ18O during Heinrich Stadials 1 and 4. Paleoceanography, 30, 895-911

Barria, P., K. J. Walsh, M. C. Peel, and D. J. Karoly, 2015: Uncertainties in runoff projections in southwestern Australian catchments using a global climate model with perturbed physics. Journal of Hydrology, 529, 184-199. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.07.040.

Batehup, R., S. McGregor, and A. J. E. Gallant, 2015: The influence of non-stationary teleconnections on palaeoclimate reconstructions of ENSO variance using a pseudoproxy framework. Climate of the Past, 11, 1733-1749. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-1733-2015.

Benthuysen, J., L. T. Thomas, and S. J. Lentz, 2015: Rapid generation of upwelling at a shelf break caused by buoyancy shutdown. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 45, 294. http://10.1175/JPO-D-14-0104.1.

Bergemann, M., C. Jakob, and T. P. Lane, 2015: Global Detection and Analysis of Coastline-Associated Rainfall Using an Objective Pattern Recognition Technique. Journal of Climate, 28, 7225-7236. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0098.1.

Best, M. J., G. Abramowitz, H. R. Johnson, A. J. Pitman, G. Balsamo, A. Boone, M. Cuntz, B. Decharme, P. A. Dirmeyer, J. Dong, M. Ek, Z. Guo, V. Haverd, B. J. J. van den Hurk, G. S. Nearing, C. Pak, C. Peters-Lidard, J. A. Santanello, L. Stevens, and N. Vuichard, 2015: The plumbing of land surface models. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16, 1425-1442

Biastoch, A., J. V. Durgadoo, A. K. Morrison, E. van Sebille, W. Weijer, and S. M. Griffies, 2015: Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation covaries with Agulhas leakage. Nature Communications, 6, 10082. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms10082.

Birch, C. E., M. Roberts, L. Garcia-Carreras, D. Ackerley, M. J. Reeder, A. Lock, and R. Schiemann, 2015: Sea-Breeze Dynamics and Convection Initiation: The Influence of Convective Parameterization in Weather and Climate Model Biases. Journal of Climate, 28, 8093-8108. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00850.1.

Black, M. T., D. J. Karoly, and A. D. King, 2015: The contribution of anthropogenic forcing to the Adelaide and Melbourne heatwaves of January 2014. [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2014 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, S144-S148

Black, M. T. and T. P. Lane, 2015: An improved diagnostic for summertime rainfall along the eastern seaboard of Australia. International Journal of Climatology, 35, 4480-4492. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4300.

Bony, S., B. Stevens, D. M. W. Frierson, C. Jakob, M. Kageyama, R. Pincus, T. G. Shepherd, S. C. Sherwood, A. P. Siebesma, A. H. Sobel, M. Watanabe, and M. J. Webb, 2015: Clouds, circulation and climate sensitivity. Nature Geoscience, 8, 261-268. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2398.

Brown, J. N., C. Langlais, and A. S. Gupta, 2015: Projected sea surface temperature changes in the equatorial Pacific relative to the Warm Pool edge. Deep Sea Research Part II, 113, 47-58. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2014.10.022.

Cai, W., G. Wang, A. Santoso, M. J. McPhaden, L. Wu, F.-F. Jin, A. Timmermann, M. Collins, G. A. Vecchi, M. Lengaigne, M. H. England, D. Dommenget, K. Takahashi, and E. Guilyardi, 2015: Increased frequency of extreme La Nina events under greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change, 5, 132-137. http://10.1038/nclimate2492.

Catto, J. L., C. Jakob, and N. Nicholls, 2015: Can the CMIP5 models represent winter frontal precipitation? Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 8596-8604. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066015.

Cetina-Heredia, P., M. Roughan, E. van Sebille, M. Feng, and M. A. Coleman, 2015: Strengthened currents override the effect of warming on lobster larval dispersal & survival. Global Change Biology, 21, 4377-4386. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13063.

Chapman, C. C., A. M. Hogg, A. E. Kiss, and S. R. Rintoul, 2015: The dynamics of Southern Ocean storm tracks. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 42, 884-903. http://10.1175/JPO-D-14-0075.1.

Choudhury, D., A. Sharma, B. Sivakumar, A. S. Gupta, and R. Mehrotra, 2015: On the predictability of SSTA indices from CMIP5 decadal experiments. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 074013

Chubb, T. H., M. J. Manton, S. T. Siems, A. D. Peace, and S. P. Bilish, 2015: Estimation of wind-induced losses from a precipitation gauge network in the Australian Snowy Mountains. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16, 2619-2638. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0216.1.

Ciasto, L. M., G. R. Simpkins, and M. H. England, 2015: Teleconnections between Tropical Pacific SST Anomalies and Extratropical Southern Hemisphere Climate. Journal of Climate, 28, 56-65. http://10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00438.1.

Contractor, S., L. V. Alexander, M. G. Donat, and N. Herold, 2015: How Well Do Gridded Datasets of Observed Daily Precipitation Compare over Australia? Advances in Meteorology, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/325718.

Cowan, T., W. Cai, B. Ng, and M. England, 2015: The response of the Indian Ocean dipole asymmetry to anthropogenic aerosols and greenhouse gases. Journal of Climate, 28, 2564-2583. http://10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00661.1.

De Kauwe, M. G., J. Kala, Y. S. Lin, A. J. Pitman, B. E. Medlyn, R. A. Duursma, G. Abramowitz, Y. P. Wang, and D. G. Miralles, 2015: A test of an optimal stomatal conductance scheme within the CABLE land surface model. Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 431-452. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-431-2015.

Decker, M., A. J. Pitman, and J. Evans, 2015: Diagnosing the seasonal land-atmosphere coupling strength over Northern Australia: dependence on soil moisture state and coupling strength definition. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19, 3433-3447. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3433-2015.

Dittus, A. J., D. J. Karoly, S. C. Lewis, and L. V. Alexander, 2015: A Multiregion Assessment of Observed Changes in the Areal Extent of Temperature and Precipitation Extremes. Journal of Climate, 28, 9206-9220. http://http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00753.1.

Dobbie, B. and D. Green, 2015: Australians are not equally protected from industrial air pollution. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 055001. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/055001.

Dommenget, D., 2015: A simple model perturbed physics study of the simulated climate sensitivity uncertainty and its relation to control climate biases. Climate Dynamics, 1-21. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2591-4.

Dorrestijn, J., D. T. Crommelin, A. P. Siebesma, H. J. J. Jonker, and C. Jakob, 2015: Stochastic Parameterization of Convective Area Fractions with a Multicloud Model Inferred from Observational Data. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72, 854-869. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0110.1.

Downes, S. M., W. Weijer, N. Jeffery, M. Mazloff, and J. Russell, 2015: Southern Ocean dynamics and biogeochemistry in a changing climate: Introduction and overview. Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography, 114, 1-2. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2015.02.013.

England, M. H., J. B. Kajtar, and N. Maher, 2015: Robust warming projections despite the recent hiatus. Nature Climate Change, 5, 394-396. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2575.

Evans, K., J. W. Young, S. Nicol, D. Kolody, V. Allain, J. Bell, J. N. Brown, A. Ganachaud, A. J. Hobday, B. Hunt, J. Innes, A. S. Gupta, E. van Sebille, R. Kloser, T. Patterson, and A. Singh, 2015: Optimising fisheries management in relation to tuna catches in the western central Pacific Ocean: A review of research priorities and opportunities. Marine Policy, 59, 94-104. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.05.003.

Fogwill, C. J., S. J. Phipps, C. S. M. Turney, and N. R. Golledge, 2015: Sensitivity of the Southern Ocean to enhanced regional Antarctic Ice Sheet meltwater input. Science Advances, 3, 317-329

Fogwill, C. J., C. S. M. Turney, D. K. Hutchinson, A. S. Taschetto, and M. H. England, 2015: Obliquity Control On Southern Hemisphere Climate During The Last Glacial. Scientific Reports, 5. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep11673.

Forryan, A., A. C. Naveira Garabato, K. L. Polzin, and S. Waterman, 2015: Rapid injection of near-inertial shear into the stratified upper ocean at an Antarctic Circumpolar Current front. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 3431-3441. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GL063494.

Frankcombe, L. M., M. H. England, M. E. Mann, and B. A. Steinmann, 2015: Separating Internal Variability from the Externally Forced Climate Response. Journal of Climate, 28, 8184-8202. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0069.1.

Frankcombe, L. M., S. McGregor, and M. H. England, 2015: Robustness of the modes of Indo-Pacific sea level variability. Climate Dynamics, 45, 1281-1298. http://10.1007/s00382-014-2377-0.

Freeman, E., L. C. Skinner, A. Tisserand, T. Dokken, A. Timmermann, L. Menviel, and T. Friedrich, 2015: An Atlantic–Pacific ventilation seesaw across the last deglaciation. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 424, 237-244. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2015.05.032.

Frey, W., R. Schofield, P. Hoor, D. Kunkel, F. Ravegnani, A. Ulanovsky, S. Viciani, F. D'Amato, and T. P. Lane, 2015: The impact of overshooting deep convection on local transport and mixing in the tropical upper troposphere/lower stratosphere (UTLS). Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 15, 6467-6486. http://10.5194/acp-15-6467-2015.

Froyland, G., C. Horenkamp, V. Rossi, and E. van Sebille, 2015: Studying an Agulhas ring's long-term pathway and decay with finite-time coherent sets. Chaos, 25, 083119. http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.4927830

Garzoli, S. L., S. Dong, R. A. Fine, C. S. Meinen, R. C. Perez, C. Schmid, E. van Sebille, and Q. Yao, 2015: The fate of the Deep Western Boundary Current in the South Atlantic. . Deep Sea Research Part I, 103, 125-136. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2015.05.008.

Goldie, J., S. C. Sherwood, D. Green, and L. Alexander, 2015: Temperature and humidity effects on hospital morbidity in Darwin, Australia. Annals of Global Health, 81, 333-41. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aogh.2015.07.003.

Gottschalk, J., L. C. Skinner, S. Misra, C. Waelbroeck, L. Menviel, and A. Timmermann, 2015: Abrupt changes in the southern extent of North Atlantic Deep Water during Dansgaard–Oeschger events. Natural Geoscience, 8, 950-954. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2558.

Graham, F. S., J. N. Brown, A. T. Wittenberg, and N. J. Holbrook, 2015: Reassessing conceptual models of ENSO. Journal of Climate, 28, 9121-9142. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00812.1.

Graham, R. M., A. M. De Boer, E. van Sebille, K. E. Kohfeld, and C. Schlosser, 2015: Inferring source regions and supply mechanisms of iron in the Southern Ocean from satellite chlorophyll data. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 104, 9-25. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2015.05.007.

Gray, S., 2015: Culture clash or ties that bind? What Australian academics think of professional staff. Journal of Higher Education Policy and Management, 37, 545-557. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1360080X.2015.1079397.

Gray, S., 2015: What do Australian academics think of professional staff and what should we do about it? . Tertiary Education Management Conference 2015, I. Dobson and R. Sharma, Eds., 103-114.

Green, D., H. Bambrick, P. Tait, J. Goldie, R. Schultz, L. Webb, L. Alexander, and A. Pitman, 2015: Differential Effects of Temperature Extremes on Hospital Admission Rates for Respiratory Disease between Indigenous and Non-Indigenous Australians in the Northern Territory. International Journal of Environmental Research on Public Health, 12, 15352-15365. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph121214988.

Grose, M. R., J. Bhend, D. Argueso, M. Ekstrom, A. J. Dowdy, P. Hoffmann, J. P. Evans, and B. Timbal, 2015: Comparison of various climate change projections of eastern Australian rainfall. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 65, 72-89

Grose, M. R., M. T. Black, J. S. Risbey, and D. J. Karoly, 2015: Attribution of exceptional mean sea level pressure anomalies south of Australia in August 2014. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, S158-162

Guerschman, J. P., P. F. Scarth, T. R. McVicar, L. J. Renzullo, T. J. Malthus, J. B. Stewart, J. E. Rickards, and R. Trevithick, 2015: Assessing the effects of site heterogeneity and soil properties when unmixing photosynthetic vegetation, non-photosynthetic vegetation and bare soil fractions from Landsat and MODIS data. Remote Sensing of Environment, 161, 12-26. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2015.01.021.

Hande, L. B., D. H. Lenschow, S. T. Siems, and M. J. Manton, 2015: An evaluation of COSMIC radio occultation data in the lower atmosphere over the Southern Ocean. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 97-107. http://10.5194/amt-8-97-2015.

Harris, R. M. B., O. Carter, L. Gilfedder, L. L. Porfirio, G. Lee, and N. L. Bindoff, 2015: Noah’s Ark Conservation Will Not Preserve Threatened Ecological Communities under Climate Change PLoS ONE, 10

Haughton, N., G. Abramowitz, A. J. Pitman, and S. J. Phipps, 2015: Weighting climate model ensembles for mean and variance estimates. Climate Dynamics, 45, 3169-3181. http://10.1007/s00382-015-2531-3.

Hirsch, A. L., A. J. Pitman, J. Kala, R. Lorenz, and M. G. Donat, 2015: Modulation of land use change impacts on temperature extremes via land-atmosphere coupling over Australia. Earth Interactions, 19, 1-24. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/EI-D-15-0011.1.

Hobbs, W., N. L. Bindoff, and M. N. Raphael, 2015: New perspectives on observed and simulated late Antarctic sea ice extent trends using optimal fingerprinting techniques. Journal of Climate, 28, 1543-1560. http://10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00367.1.

Hogg, A. M., M. P. Meredith, D. P. Chambers, P. Abrahamsen, C. W. Hughes, and A. K. Morrison, 2015: Recent trends in the Southern Ocean eddy field. Journal of Geophysical Research, 120, 257-267. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014JC010470.

Howard, E., A. M. C. Hogg, S. N. Waterman, and D. P. Marshall, 2015: The injection of zonal momentum by buoyancy forcing in a Southern Ocean model. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 45, 259-271. http://10.1175/JPO-D-14-0098.1.

Hu, D., L. Wu, W. Cai, A. S. Gupta, A. Ganachaud, B. Qiu, A. L. Gordon, X. Lin, Z. Chen, S. Hu, G. Wang, Q. Wang, J. Sprintall, T. Qu, Y. Kashino, F. Wang, and W. Kessler, 2015: Pacific western boundary currents and their roles in climate. Nature, 522, 299-308. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature14504.

Huang, Y., C. N. Franklin, S. T. Siems, M. J. Manton, T. Chubb, A. Lock, S. Alexander, and A. Klekociuk, 2015: Evaluation of Boundary Layer Cloud Forecasts over the Southern Ocean in a Limited-area Numerical Weather Prediction System using In-situ, Space-borne and Ground-based Observations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141, 2259-2276. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.2519.

Huang, Y., A. Protat, S. T. Siems, and M. J. Manton, 2015: A-Train Observations of Maritime Mid-latitude Storm-track Cloud Systems: Comparing the Southern Ocean against the North Atlantic. Journal of Climate, 28, 1920-1939s. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00169.1.

Hutchinson, D. K., M. H. England, A. M. Hogg, and K. Snow, 2015: Interhemispheric Asymmetry of Warming in an Eddy Permitting Coupled Sector Model. Journal of Climate, 28, 7385-7406. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0014.1.

Kajtar, J. B., A. Santoso, M. H. England, and W. Cai, 2015: Indo-Pacific Climate Interactions in the Absence of an Indonesian Throughflow. Journal of Climate, 28, 5017-5029. http://10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00114.1.

Kala, J., J. Andrys, T. J. Lyons, I. J. Foster, and B. J. Evans, 2015: Sensitivity of WRF to driving data and physics options on a seasonal time-scale for the southwest of Western Australia. Climate Dynamics, 44, 633-659. http://10.1007/s00382-014-2160-2.

Kala, J., M. G. De Kauwe, A. J. Pitman, R. Lorenz, B. E. Medlyn, Y. Wang, -P., Y. S. Lin, and G. Abramowitz, 2015: Implementation of an optimal stomatal conductance scheme in the Australian Community Climate Earth Systems Simulator (ACCESS1.3b). Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 3877-3889. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3877-2015.

Kala, J., J. P. Evans, and A. Pitman, 2015: Influence of antecedent soil moisture conditions on the synoptic meteorology of the Black Saturday bushfire event in southeast Australia. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141, 3118-3129

Keating, S. R. and K. S. Smith, 2015: Upper ocean flow statistics estimated from superresolved sea-surface temperature images. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 120, 1197-1214. http://10.1002/2014JC010357.

Kim, S.-T., R. M. Parinussa, Y. Y. Liu, F. M. Johnson, and A. Sharma, 2015: A framework for combining multiple soil moisture retrievals based on maximizing temporal correlation. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 6662-6670. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064981.

King, A. D., M. T. Black, D. J. Karoly, and M. G. Donat, 2015: Increased likelihood of Brisbane G20 heat event due to anthropogenic climate change. [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2014 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, S141-S144

King, A. D., M. G. Donat, L. V. Alexander, and D. Karoly, 2015: The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5. Climate Dynamics, 44, 2623-2635. http://10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8.

King, A. D., M. G. Donat, E. M. Fischer, E. Hawkins, K. Alexander, D. J. Karoly, A. J. Dittus, S. C. Lewis, and S. E. Perkins, 2015: The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 094015

King, A. D., G. J. van Oldenborgh, D. J. Karoly, S. C. Lewis, and H. M. Cullen, 2015: Attribution of the record high Central England Temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences. Environmental Research Letters, 10. http://10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054002.

King, M. J., M. C. Wheeler, and T. P. Lane, 2015: Association of convection with the 5-day Rossby-Haurwitz wave. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72, 3309-3321

Klotzbach, P. J. and E. C. J. Oliver, 2015: Modulation of Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity by the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) from 1905-2011. Journal of Climate, 28, 204-217. http://10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00509.1.

Klotzbach, P. J. and E. C. J. Oliver, 2015: Variations in global tropical cyclone activity and the Madden-Julian Oscillation since the midtwentieth century. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 4199-4207. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GL063966.

Kravitz, B., A. Robock, S. Tilmes, O. Boucher, J. M. English, P. J. Irvine, A. Jones, M. G. Lawrence, M. MacCracken, H. Muri, J. C. Moore, U. Niemeier, S. J. Phipps, J. Sillmann, T. Storelvmo, H. Wang, and S. Watanabe, 2015: The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (GeoMIP6): Simulation Design and Preliminary Results. Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 3379-3392. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3379-2015, 2015.

Kvale, K. F., K. J. Meissner, and D. P. Keller, 2015: Potential increasing dominance of heterotrophy in the global ocean. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 74009-74017

Kvale, K. F., K. J. Meissner, D. P. Keller, M. Eby, and A. Schmittner, 2015: Explicit Planktic Calcifiers in the University of Victoria Earth System Climate Model, Version 2.9. Atmosphere-Ocean, 53, 332-350. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1049112.

Lane, T. P. and M. W. Moncrieff, 2015: Long-Lived Mesoscale Systems in a Low–Convective Inhibition Environment. Part I: Upshear Propagation. Journal of Atmospheric Science, 72, 4297-4318. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0073.1.

Lee, J., Y. Fan, and S. A. Sisson, 2015: Bayesian threshold selection for extremal models using measures of surprise. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 85, 84-99. http://10.1016/j.csda.2014.12.004.

Lewis, S. C. and D. J. Karoly, 2015: Are estimates of anthropogenic and natural influences on Australia’s extreme 2010–2012 rainfall model-dependent? Climate Dynamics, 45, 679-695. http://10.1007/s00382-014-2283-5.

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IN PRESS

Abellan, E. and S. McGregor, In Press: The role of the southward wind shift in both, the seasonal synchronization and duration of ENSO events. Climate Dynamics. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2853-1.

Alexander, L. V., In Press: Global observed long-term changes in temperature and precipitation extremes: A review of progress and limitations in IPCC assessments and beyond. Weather and Climate Extremes. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2015.10.007.

Argueso, D., A. Di Luca, and J. P. Evans, In press: Precipitation over urban areas in the western Maritime Continent using a convection-permitting model. Climate Dynamics. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2893-6.

Ashcroft, L., J. Gergis, and D. J. Karoly, In Press: Long-term stationarity of El Niño-Southern Oscillation teleconnections in southeastern Australia. Climate Dynamics

Azorin-Molina, C., J.-A. Guijarro, T. R. McVicar, S. M. Vicente-Serrano, D. L. Chen, S. Jerez, and F. Espirito-Santo, In Press: Trends of daily peak wind gusts in Spain and Portugal, 1961-2014. Journal of Geophysical Research. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024485.

Decker, M., In Press: Development and evaluation of a new soil moisture and runoffparameterization for the CABLE LSM including subgrid-scaleprocesses. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 7. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000507.

Donat, M. G., A. D. King, J. T. Overpeck, L. V. Alexander, I. Durre, and D. J. Karoly, In Press: Extraordinary heat during the 1930s US Dust Bowl and associated large-scale conditions. Climate Dynamics. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2590-5.

Gottwald, G. A., K. Peters, and L. Davies, In Press: A data-driven method for the stochastic parametrisation of subgrid-scale tropical convective area fraction. . Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Henley, B. J., J. Gergis, D. J. Karoly, S. Power, J. Kennedy, and C. K. Folland, In Press: A Tripole Index for the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. Climate Dynamics, 45, 3077-3090. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2525-1.

Hobbs, W. R., M. Palmer, and D. Monselesan, In Press: An Energy Conservation Analysis of Ocean Drift in the CMIP5 Global Coupled Models. Journal of Climate. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0477.1.

Huiskamp, W. N., K. J. Meissner, and M. dOrgeville, In Press: Competition between ocean carbon pumps in simulations with varying southern hemisphere westerly wind forcing. Climate Dynamics

Jourdain, N. C., M. Lengaigne, J. Vialard, T. Izumo, and A. S. Gupta, In Press: Further insights on the influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the following year's ENSO from observations and CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate

Kepert, J. D., J. Schwendike, and H. A. Ramsay, In Press: Why is the tropical cyclone boundary layer not “well mixed”? Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0216.1.

Macadam, I., D. Argueso, J. P. Evans, D. L. Liu, and A. J. Pitman, In Press: The effect of bias correction and climate model resolution on wheat simulations forced with a Regional Climate Model ensemble. International Journal of Climatology

Maher, P. and S. C. Sherwood, In Press: Skill in simulating Australian precipitation at the tropical edge. Journal of Climate

McGregor, S., A. Timmermann, and F.-F. Jin, In Press: Charging El Niño events with off-equatorial wind bursts? . Climate Dynamics. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2891-8.

Meehl, G. A., H. Teng, N. Maher, and M. H. England, In Press: Effects of the Mt. Pinatubo eruption on decadal climate prediction skill of Pacific sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066608.

Oliver, E. C. J., In Press: Blind use of reanalysis data: Apparent trends in Madden-Julian Oscillation activity driven by observational changes. International Journal of Climatology

Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson, In Press: Predictability of the Madden-Julian Oscillation index: seasonality and dependence on MJO phase. Climate Dynamics. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2576-3.

Pepler, A., L. Alexander, J. Evans, and S. Sherwood, In Press: Zonal winds and southeast Australian rainfall in global and regional climate models. Climate Dynamics

Pepler, A. S., A. Di Luca, F. Ji, L. V. Alexander, J. P. Evans, and S. C. Sherwood, In Press: Projected changes in east Australian midlatitude cyclones during the 21st century. Geophysical Research Letters

Purich, A., W. Cai, M. H. England, and T. Cowan, In Press: Evidence for link between modelled trends in Antarctic sea ice and underestimated westerly wind changes. Nature Communications

Saenko, O. A., J. C. Fyfe, N. C. Swart, W. G. Lee, and M. H. England, In Press: Influence of tropical wind on global temperature from months to decades Climate Dynamics

Schuyler, Q. A., C. Wilcox, K. A. Townsend, K. R. Wedemeyer-Strombel, G. Balazs, E. van Sebille, and B. D. Hardesty, In Press: Risk analysis reveals global hotspots for marine debris ingestion by sea turtles. Global Change Biology. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13078.

Schymanski, S. J., M. L. Roderick, and M. Sivapaian, In Press: Using an optimality model to understand medium and long-term responses of vegetation water use to elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations. AoB Plants, 7. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/aobpla/plv060.

Serrao-Neumann, S., J. Davidson, C. Baldwin, A. Dedekorkut-Howes, J. Ellison, N. J. Holbrook, M. Howes, C. Jaconson, and E. Morgan, In Press: Marine governance to avoid tipping points: can we adapt the adaptability envelope? Marine Policy

Sullivan, M. and D. Green, In Press: Misled about lead? An assessment of online public health education material from Australia’s major lead mining and smelting towns. Environmental Health

Taschetto, A. S., R. R. Rodrigues, G. A. Meehl, S. McGregor, and M. H. England, In Press: How sensitive are the Pacific-North Atlantic teleconnections to the position and intensity of El Niño-related warming. Climate Dynamics. http://10.1007/s00382-015-2679-x.

Trossman, D. S., S. Waterman, K. L. Polzin, B. K. Arbic, S. T. Garner, A. C. Naveria-Garabato, and K. L. Sheen, In Press: Internal lee wave closures: Parameter sensitivity and comparison to observations. Journal of Geophysical Research. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015JC010892.

Vreugdenhil, C. A., A. M. Hogg, R. W. Griffiths, and G. O. Hughes, In Press: Adjustment of the meridional overturning circulation and its dependence on abyssal and upper ocean mixing. Journal of Physical Oceanography

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Yanshan, Y., D. Dommenget, C. Frauen, G. Wang, and S. Wales, In Press: ENSO diversity as a result of the recharge oscillator interacting with the slab ocean. Climate Dynamics. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2667-1.

 

SUBMITTED

Abram, N. J., H. V. McGregor, J. E. Tierney, M. N. Evans, N. P. McKay, D. S. Kaufman, K. J. Anchukaitis, K. Thirumalai, B. Martrat, H. Goosse, S. J. Phipps, E. J. Steig, K. H. Kilbourne, C. P. Saenger, J. Zinke, G. Leduc, J. A. Addison, P. G. Mortyn, M.-S. Seidenkrantz, M.-A. Sicre, K. Selvaraj, H. L. Filipsson, R. Neukom, J. Gergis, M. A. J. Curran, V. Trouet, and L. von Gunten, Submitted: The onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents. Nature

Aoki, S., K. J. Heywood, S. R. Rintoul, N. L. Bindoff, M. Naganobu, Y. Kitade, Y. Fukumachi, S. Schmidtko, and K. I. Ohshima, Submitted: Contribution of glacial melt and sea ice to freshwater content of Antarctic shelf waters. Nature 

Chapman, C. C., Submitted: Detection of oceanic jets using wavelets and higher order statistics. Ocean Modelling

Couto, A. B., A. Maharaj, and N. J. Holbrook, Submitted: Global ocean chlorophyll in a changing climate. Nature Climate Change

Di Luca, A., J. P. Evans, A. Pepler, L. V. Alexander, and D. Argueso, Submitted: Resolution sensitivity of cyclone climatology over eastern Australia using five reanalysis products. Journal of Climate

Gimeno, L., F. Domingues, R. Nieto, R. Trigo, A. Drumond, C. J. C. REason, A. S. Tashetto, A. Ramos, R. Kumar, and J. Marengo, Submitted: Major mechanisms of atmospheric moisture transport and their role in extreme precipitation events

Graham, F. S., J. N. Brown, A. T. Wittenberg, and N. J. Holbrook, Submitted: Reassessing conceptual models of ENSO. Journal of Climate

Graham, F. S., J. N. Brown, A. T. Wittenberg, S. J. Marsland, and N. J. Holbrook, Submitted: The double peaked El Niño: A pervasive feature of coupled GCMs. Climate Dynamics

Groeskamp, S., J. D. Zika, T. J. McDougall, B. M. Sloyan, and F. Laliberte, Submitted: Analysis of ocean circulation in thermohaline-coordinates: Introducing the stationary thermohaline streamfunction.  . Journal of Physical Oceanography

Hobday, A. J., L. V. Alexander, S. E. Perkins, D. A. Smale, S. C. Straub, E. C. J. Oliver, J. Benthuysen, M. T. Burrows, M. G. Donat, M. Feng, N. J. Holbrook, J. C. Moore, H. A. Scannell, A. Sen Gupta, and T. Wernberg, Submitted: A hierarchical approach to defining marine heat waves. Progress in Oceanography

King, M., M. C. Wheeler, and T. P. Lane, Submitted: Convective coupling with the 5-day Rossby Haurwitz wave. Journal of Atmospheric Science

Kiss, A. E. and L. M. Frankcombe, Submitted: The influence of periodic forcing on the time dependence of western boundary currents: Phase-locking, chaos, and mechanisms of low-frequency variability. Journal of Physical Oceanography

Klotzbach, P. J., E. C. J. Oliver, R. Leeper, and C. J. Schreck, Submitted: he relationship between the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and southeastern New England snowfall. Monthly Weather Review

Lyth, A. V. and N. J. Holbrook, Submitted: Vulnerability to Ross River virus in a temperate island State: an indirect health implication of a changing climate. Weather, Climate and Society

McDonald, R. I., H. Y. Chai, and N. B.R., Submitted: Bringing Climate Change home: Reconciling Personal Experience and Psychological Distance. Perspectives on Psychological Science

Mcinnes, K., C. J. White, I. D. Haigh, M. A. Hemer, R. K. Hoeke, N. J. Holbrook, A. S. Keim, E. C. J. Oliver, R. Ranasinghe, K. J. E. Walsh, S. Westra, and R. Cox, Submitted: Natural hazards in Australia: sea level and coastal extremes. Climate Change

Meyer, A., K. L. Polzin, B. M. Sloyan, and H. E. Phillips, Submitted: Internal waves and mixing near the Kerguelen Plateau. Journal of Physical Oceanography

Nearing, G. S. and H. V. Gupta, Submitted: Quantifying Induction: On the Amount and Quality of Information in a Model. Journal of Geophysical Research

Newell, B. R., R. I. McDonald, and T. F. Denson, Submitted: Would you rule out going green? The effect of inclusion, exclusion and social pressure on pro-environmental attitudes and behavior. . European Journal of Social Psychology

Oliver, E. C. J., M. Herzfeld, and N. J. Holbrook, Submitted Modelling the shelf circulation off eastern Tasmania. Continental Shelf Research

Perkins, S. E., D. Argueso, and C. J. White, Submitted: Understanding the influence of climate variability on Australian heatwaves. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

Perkins, S. E., S. C. Lewis, A. D. King, and L. V. Alexander, Submitted: The amplification of Australian heatwave characteristics due to anthropogenic influence. Journal of Climate

Perkins, S. E., C. J. White, L. V. Alexander, D. Argueso, G. Boschat, T. Cowan, J. P. Evans, M. Ekstrom, E. C. J. Oliver, A. Phatak, and A. Purich, Submitted: Natural hazards in Australia: heatwaves. Climate Change

Phipps, S. J., A. Lenton, L. D. Rotstayn, A. Sen Gupta, D. Ji, J. C. Moore, U. Niemeier, H. Schmidt, and S. Tilmes, Submitted: Modulation of the Southern Hemisphere climate by solar radiation management. Geophysical Research Letters

Sapriza-Azuri, G., J. Jodar-Bermudez, J. Carrera-Ramirez, and H. V. Gupta, Submitted: A Circulation Pattern-Based Approach to Evaluating the Combined Impacts of Climate Change and Groundwater Pumping on Catchment Dynamics. Journal of Hydrology

Seneviratne, S. I., S. J. Phipps, A. J. Pitman, M. G. Donat, A. Lenton, E. L. Davin, and M. Wilhelm, Submitted: Regional land radiative management: An avenue for low-regret climate engineering? Nature Climate Change

Sheen, K. L., J. A. Brearley, A. C. Naveira-Garabato, D. A. Smeed, L. S. Laurent, M. P. Meredith, A. M. Thurnherr, and S. N. Waterman, Submitted: Modification of turbulent dissipation rates by a deep Southern Ocean eddy. Geophysical Research Letters

Turney, C. S. M., R. Jones, S. J. Phipps, Z. Thomas, A. Hogg, A. P. Kershaw, C. J. Fogwill, J. Palmer, C. Bronk Ramsey, F. Adolphi, R. Muscheler, K. A. Hughen, R. A. Staff, M. Grosvenor, N. R. Golledge, and S. Haberle, Submitted: Antarctic Forcing of Abrupt Global Climate Change during Isotope Stage 3. Global Planetary Change

Xiao, X., K. S. Smith, and S. R. Keating, Submitted: The effect of surface buoyancy gradients on oceanic Rossby wave propagation. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans

Ypma, S. L., E. van Sebille, A. E. Kiss, and P. Spence, Submitted: The separation of the East Australian Current: a Lagrangian approach to potential vorticity and upstream control

Zhang, H., H. Beggs, L. Majewski, H. X. Wang, and A. E. Kiss, Submitted: Investigating Sea Surface Temperature Diurnal Variation over the Tropical Warm Pool Using MTSAT-1R Data. Remote Sensing of Environment

 

REPORTS

Arblaster, J., I. Jubb, K. Braganza, L. V. Alexander, D. J. Karoly, and R. Colman, 2015: Weather extremes and climate change - The science behind the attribution of climatic events. http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/climatechange/docs/Weather_Extremes_Report-FINAL.pdf

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