This publication list is ordered alphabetically by lead author. To obtain a copy of any of these publications contact the relevant team member via the Centre Team page.

Browse publications by year: In Press | Current | 2015 | 2014  | 2013 | 2012 | 2011




Dean, A., D. Green, and P. Nunn, 2016: The Impacts of Climate Finance on an Atoll Nation. Island Geographies, S. R. US), Ed.

Green, D., 2016: Is it too late to do something about climate change in the Torres Strait? Anthropology and Climate Change, C. N. R. UK), Ed.

Green, D., M. Sullivan, and K. Nolan, 2016: Environmental injustice in resource-rich Aboriginal Australia. Handbook of Environmental Justice, W. a. C. R. U. Holifield, Ed.



Ackerley, D. and D. Dommenget, 2016: Atmosphere-only GCM simulations with prescribed land surface temperatures. Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., 2016, 1-32. 10.5194/gmd-2016-6.

Alexander, L. V., 2016: Global observed long-term changes in temperature and precipitation extremes: A review of progress and limitations in IPCC assessments and beyond. Weather and Climate Extremes, 11, 4-16. 10.1016/j.wace.2015.10.007.

Azorin-Molina, C., J.-A. Guijarro, T. R. McVicar, S. M. Vicente-Serrano, D. L. Chen, S. Jerez, and F. Espirito-Santo, 2016: Trends of daily peak wind gusts in Spain and Portugal, 1961-2014. Journal of Geophysical Research, 121, 1059-1078. 10.1002/2015JD024485.

Beck, H. E., A. I. J. M. van Dijk, A. de Roo, D. G. Miralles, T. R. McVicar, J. Schellekens, and L. A. Bruijnzeel, 2016: Global-scale regionalization of hydrologic model parameters. Water Resources Research, 52, 3599-3622. 10.1002/2015WR018247.

Bergemann, M. and C. Jakob, 2016: How important is tropospheric humidity for coastal rainfall in the tropics? Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 5860-5868. 10.1002/2016GL069255.

Berry, G. J. and M. J. Reeder, 2016: The Dynamics of Australian Monsoon Bursts. Journal of Atmospheric Science, 73, 55-69. 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0071.1.

Birch, C. E., S. Webster, S. C. Peatman, D. J. Parker, A. J. Matthews, Y. Li, and M. E. E. Hassim, 2016: Scale Interactions between the MJO and the Western Maritime Continent. Journal of Climate, 29, 2471-2492. 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0557.1.

Boschat, G., I. Simmonds, A. Purich, T. Cowan, and A. B. Pezza, 2016: On the use of composite analyses to form physical hypotheses: An example from heat wave – SST associations. Scientific Reports, 6, 29599. 10.1038/srep29599

Boucharel, J., F.-F. Jin, I. I. Lin, H.-C. Huang, and M. H. England, 2016: Different controls of tropical cyclone activity in the Eastern Pacific for two types of El Niño. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 1944-8007. 10.1002/2016GL067728.

Boyer, T., C. M. Domingues, S. A. Good, G. C. Johnson, J. M. Lyman, M. Ishii, V. Gouretski, J. K. Willis, J. Antonov, S. Wijffels, J. A. Church, R. Cowley, and N. L. Bindoff, 2016: Sensitivity of Global Upper-Ocean Heat Content Estimates to Mapping Methods, XBT Bias Corrections, and Baseline Climatologies. Journal of Climate, 29, 4817-4842. 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0801.1.

Chen, T., R. T. McVicar, G. Wang, X. Chen, A. R. de Jeu, Y. Y. Liu, H. Shen, F. Zhang, and J. A. Dolman, 2016: Advantages of Using Microwave Satellite Soil Moisture over Gridded Precipitation Products and Land Surface Model Output in Assessing Regional Vegetation Water Availability and Growth Dynamics for a Lateral Inflow Receiving Landscape. Remote Sensing, 8. 10.3390/rs8050428.

Deo, A. and K. J. E. Walsh, 2016: Contrasting tropical cyclone and non-tropical cyclone related rainfall drop size distribution at Darwin, Australia. Atmospheric Research, 181, 81-94.

Di Luca, A., D. Argüeso, J. P. Evans, R. de Elía, and R. Laprise, 2016: Quantifying the overall added value of dynamical downscaling and the contribution from different spatial scales. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121, 2169-8996. 10.1002/2015JD024009.

Donat, M. G., A. D. King, J. T. Overpeck, L. V. Alexander, I. Durre, and D. J. Karoly, 2016: Extraordinary heat during the 1930s US Dust Bowl and associated large-scale conditions. Climate Dynamics, 46, 413-426. 10.1007/s00382-015-2590-5.

Dunn, R. J. H., C. Azorin-Molina, C. A. Mears, P. Berrisford, and T. R. McVicar, 2016: Global Climate: Atmospheric circulation, Surface WInds. Surface wind speed in State of the Climate in 2015. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, S38-40

Fletcher, J., S. Mason, and C. Jakob, 2016: The Climatology, Meteorology, and Boundary Layer Structure of Marine Cold Air Outbreaks in Both Hemispheres. Journal of Climate, 29, 1999-2014. 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0268.1.

Fyfe, J. C., G. A. Meehl, M. H. England, M. E. Mann, B. D. Santer, G. M. Flato, E. Hawkins, N. P. Gillett, S.-P. Xie, Y. Kosaka, and N. C. Swart, 2016: Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown. Nature Clim. Change, 6, 224-228. 10.1038/nclimate2938.

Gallant, A. J. E. and S. C. Lewis, 2016: Stochastic and anthropogenic influences on repeated record-breaking temperature extremes in Australian spring of 2013 and 2014. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 1944-8007. 10.1002/2016GL067740.

Gergis, J., R. Neukom, A. J. E. Gallant, and D. J. Karoly, 2016: Australasian Temperature Reconstructions Spanning the Last Millennium. Journal of Climate, 29, 5365-5392. 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00781.1.

Hassim, M. E. E., T. P. Lane, and W. W. Grabowski, 2016: The diurnal cycle of rainfall over New Guinea in convection-permitting WRF simulations. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 161-175. 10.5194/acp-16-161-2016.

Herold, N., L. V. Alexander, M. G. Donat, S. Contractor, and A. Becker, 2016: How much does it rain over land? Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 341-348. 10.1002/2015GL066615.

Herold, N., J. Kala, and L. V. Alexander, 2016: The influence of soil moisture deficits on Australian heatwaves. Environmental Research Letters, 11, 064003

Hobbs, W. R., R. Massom, S. Stammerjohn, P. Reid, G. Williams, and W. Meier, 2016: A review of recent changes in Southern Ocean sea ice, their drivers and forcings. Global and Planetary Change, 143, 228-250.

Hobbs, W. R., M. Palmer, and D. Monselesan, 2016: An Energy Conservation Analysis of Ocean Drift in the CMIP5 Global Coupled Models. Journal of Climate, 29, 1639–1653. 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0477.1.

Hobday, A. J., L. V. Alexander, S. E. Perkins, D. A. Smale, S. C. Straub, E. C. J. Oliver, J. A. Benthuysen, M. T. Burrows, M. G. Donat, M. Feng, N. J. Holbrook, P. J. Moore, H. A. Scannell, A. Sen Gupta, and T. Wernberg, 2016: A hierarchical approach to defining marine heatwaves. Progress in Oceanography, 141, 227-238. 10.1016/j.pocean.2015.12.014.

Humphries, R. S., A. R. Klekociuk, R. Schofield, M. Keywood, J. Ward, and S. R. Wilson, 2016: Unexpectedly high ultrafine aerosol concentrations above East Antarctic sea ice. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 2185-2206. 10.5194/acp-16-2185-2016.

Ilıcak, M., H. Drange, Q. Wang, R. Gerdes, Y. Aksenov, D. Bailey, M. Bentsen, A. Biastoch, A. Bozec, C. Böning, C. Cassou, E. Chassignet, A. C. Coward, B. Curry, G. Danabasoglu, S. Danilov, E. Fernandez, P. G. Fogli, Y. Fujii, S. M. Griffies, D. Iovino, A. Jahn, T. Jung, W. G. Large, C. Lee, C. Lique, J. Lu, S. Masina, A. J. George Nurser, C. Roth, D. Salas y Mélia, B. L. Samuels, P. Spence, H. Tsujino, S. Valcke, A. Voldoire, X. Wang, and S. G. Yeager, 2016: An assessment of the Arctic Ocean in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations. Part III: Hydrography and fluxes. Ocean Modelling, 100, 141-161. 10.1016/j.ocemod.2016.02.004.

Johnson, G. C., J. M. Lyman, T. Boyer, C. M. Domingues, M. Ishii, R. Killik, D. Monselesan, and S. E. Wijffels, 2016: Global Oceans: Ocean Heat Content, In State of the Climate in 2015. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, S66-70

Jourdain, N. C., M. Lengaigne, J. Vialard, T. Izumo, and A. Sen Gupta, 2016: Further insights on the influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the following year's ENSO from observations and CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 29, 637-658. 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0481.1.

Kala, J., M. G. De Kauwe, A. J. Pitman, B. E. Medlyn, Y.-P. Wang, R. Lorenz, and S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, 2016: Impact of the representation of stomatal conductance on model projections of heatwave intensity. Scientific Reports, 6, 23418. 10.1038/srep23418.

Kepert, J. D., J. Schwendike, and H. A. Ramsay, 2016: Why is the tropical cyclone boundary layer not “well mixed”? Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 73, 957–973. 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0216.1.

Kim, Y.-H., S.-K. Min, X. Zhang, F. Zwiers, L. V. Alexander, M. G. Donat, and Y.-S. Tung, 2016: Attribution of extreme temperature changes during 1951–2010. Climate Dynamics, 46, 1769-1782. 10.1007/s00382-015-2674-2.

Kiss, A. E. and L. M. Frankcombe, 2016: The influence of periodic forcing on the time dependence of western boundary currents: Phase-locking, chaos, and mechanisms of low-frequency variability. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 46, 1117-1136. 10.1175/JPO-D-15-0113.1.

Klotzbach, P. J., E. C. J. Oliver, R. Leeper, and C. J. Schreck, 2016: The relationship between the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and southeastern New England snowfall. Monthly Weather Review, 144, 1355-1362. 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0434.1.

Lorenz, R., D. Argueso, G. D. Markus, A. J. Pitman, B. van den Hurk, A. Berg, D. Lawrence, F. Cheruy, A. Duchame, S. Hagemann, A. Meier, P. C. D. Milly, and S. I. Seneviratne, 2016: Influence of land-atmosphere feedbacks on temperature and precipitation extremes in the GLACE-CMIP5 ensemble. Journal of Geophysical Research. 10.1002/2015JD024053.

Maher, P. and S. C. Sherwood, 2016: Skill in simulating Australian precipitation at the tropical edge. Journal of Climate, 29, 1477-1496. 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0548.1.

Menezes, V. V., H. E. Phillips, M. L. Vianna, and N. L. Bindoff, 2016: Interannual variability of the South Indian Countercurrent. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121, 3465-3487. 10.1002/2015JC011417.

Meyer, A., K. L. Polzin, B. M. Sloyan, and H. E. Phillips, 2016: Internal Waves and Mixing near the Kerguelen Plateau. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 46, 417-437. 10.1175/JPO-D-15-0055.1.

Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson, 2016: Predictability of the Madden-Julian Oscillation index: seasonality and dependence on MJO phase. Climate Dynamics, 46, 159-176. 10.1007/s00382-015-2576-3.

Osburn, L., T. Chubb, S. T. Siems, and M. J. Manton, 2016: Observations of Supercooled Liquid Water in Wintertime Alpine Storms in South Eastern Australia. Atmospheric Research, 169, 345-356. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2015.10.007.

Pepler, A., L. Alexander, J. Evans, and S. Sherwood, 2016: Zonal winds and southeast Australian rainfall in global and regional climate models. Climate Dynamics, 46, 123-133. 10.1007/s00382-015-2573-6.

Pepler, A. S., A. Di Luca, F. Ji, L. V. Alexander, J. P. Evans, and S. C. Sherwood, 2016: Projected changes in east Australian midlatitude cyclones during the 21st century. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 334-340. 10.1002/2015GL067267.

Purich, A., W. Cai, M. H. England, and T. Cowan, 2016: Evidence for link between modelled trends in Antarctic sea ice and underestimated westerly wind changes. Nature Communications, 7. 10.1038/ncomms10409.

Sen Gupta, A., S. McGregor, E. van Sebille, A. Ganachaud, J. N. Brown, and A. Santoso, 2016: Future changes to the Indonesian Throughflow and Pacific circulation: The differing role of wind and deep circulation changes. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 1944-8007. 10.1002/2016GL067757.

Seneviratne, S. I., M. G. Donat, A. J. Pitman, R. Knutti, and R. L. Wilby, 2016: Allowable CO2 emissions based on regional and impact-related climate targets. Nature, 529, 477-483. 10.1038/nature16542.

Serrao-Neumann, S., J. Davidson, C. Baldwin, A. Dedekorkut-Howes, J. Ellison, N. J. Holbrook, M. Howes, C. Jaconson, and E. Morgan, 2016: Marine governance to avoid tipping points: can we adapt the adaptability envelope? Marine Policy, 65, 56-67. 10.1016/j.marpol.2015.12.007.

Shaoxiu, M., A. J. Pitman, R. Lorenz, J. Kala, and J. Srbinovsky, 2016: Earlier green-up and spring warming amplification over Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 1944-8007. 10.1002/2016GL068062.

Sijp, W. P. and M. H. England, 2016: The effect of low ancient greenhouse climate temperature gradients on the ocean's overturning circulation. Clim. Past, 12, 543-552. 10.5194/cp-12-543-2016.

Snow, K., A. M. C. Hogg, B. M. Sloyan, and S. M. Downes, 2016: Sensitivity of Antarctic Bottom Water to Changing Surface Buoyancy Fluxes. Journal of Climate, 29, 313-330. 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0467.1.

Snow, K., B. M. Sloyan, S. R. Rintoul, A. M. Hogg, and S. M. Downes, 2016: Controls on circulation, cross-shelf exchange, and dense water formation in an Antarctic polynya. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 7089-7096. 10.1002/2016GL069479.

Stockhecke, M., A. Timmermann, R. Kipfer, G. H. Haug, O. Kwiecien, T. Friedrich, L. Menviel, T. Litt, N. Pcikarski, and F. S. Anselmetti, 2016: Millennial to orbital-scale variations of drought intensity in the Eastern Mediterranean. Quarternary Science Reviews, 133, 77-95. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.12.016.

Stone, K. A., O. Morgenstern, D. J. Karoly, A. R. Klekociuk, W. J. French, N. L. Abraham, and R. Schofield, 2016: Evaluation of the ACCESS – chemistry–climate model for the Southern Hemisphere. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 2401-2415. 10.5194/acp-16-2401-2016.

Sullivan, M. and D. Green, 2016: Misled about lead: an assessment of online public health education material from Australia’s lead mining and smelting towns. Environmental Health, 15. 10.1186/s12940-015-0085-9.

Taschetto, A. S., R. R. Rodrigues, G. A. Meehl, S. McGregor, and M. H. England, 2016: How sensitive are the Pacific-North Atlantic teleconnections to the position and intensity of El Niño-related warming. Climate Dynamics, 46, 1841-1860. 10.1007/s00382-015-2679-x.

Vincent, C. L. and T. P. Lane, 2016: Evolution of the Diurnal Precipitation Cycle with the Passage of a Madden–Julian Oscillation Event through the Maritime Continent. Monthly Weather Review, 144, 1983-2005. 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0326.1.

Vreugdenhil, C. A., A. M. Hogg, R. W. Griffiths, and G. O. Hughes, 2016: Adjustment of the meridional overturning circulation and its dependence on abyssal and upper ocean mixing. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 46, 731–747. 10.1175/JPO-D-15-0050.1.

Wang, Q., M. Ilicak, R. Gerdes, H. Drange, Y. Aksenov, D. A. Bailey, M. Bentsen, A. Biastoch, A. Bozec, C. Böning, C. Cassou, E. Chassignet, A. C. Coward, B. Curry, G. Danabasoglu, S. Danilov, E. Fernandez, P. G. Fogli, Y. Fujii, S. M. Griffies, D. Iovino, A. Jahn, T. Jung, W. G. Large, C. Lee, C. Lique, J. Lu, S. Masina, A. J. G. Nurser, B. Rabe, C. Roth, D. Salas y Mélia, B. L. Samuels, P. Spence, H. Tsujino, S. Valcke, A. Voldoire, X. Wang, and S. G. Yeager, 2016: An assessment of the Arctic Ocean in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations. Part I: Sea ice and solid freshwater. Ocean Modelling, 99, 110-132. 10.1016/j.ocemod.2015.12.008.

Wang, Q., M. Ilicak, R. Gerdes, H. Drange, Y. Aksenov, D. A. Bailey, M. Bentsen, A. Biastoch, A. Bozec, C. Böning, C. Cassou, E. Chassignet, A. C. Coward, B. Curry, G. Danabasoglu, S. Danilov, E. Fernandez, P. G. Fogli, Y. Fujii, S. M. Griffies, D. Iovino, A. Jahn, T. Jung, W. G. Large, C. Lee, C. Lique, J. Lu, S. Masina, A. J. G. Nurser, B. Rabe, C. Roth, D. Salas y Mélia, B. L. Samuels, P. Spence, H. Tsujino, S. Valcke, A. Voldoire, X. Wang, and S. G. Yeager, 2016: An assessment of the Arctic Ocean in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations. Part II: Liquid freshwater. Ocean Modelling, 99, 86-109. 10.1016/j.ocemod.2015.12.009.

Watson, C. D. and T. P. Lane, 2016: A Case of an Undular Bore and Prefrontal Precipitation in the Australian Alps. Monthly Weather Review, 144, 2623-2644. 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0355.1.

Wong, P. P., P. Lai, C. Low, S. Chen, and M. A. Hart, 2016: The impact of environmental and human factors on urban heat and microclimate variability. Building and Environment, 95, 199-208. 10.1016/j.buildenv.2015.09.024.

Wong, P. P.-Y., P.-C. Lai, C.-T. Low, S. Chen, and M. Hart, 2016: The impact of environmental and human factors on urban heat and microclimate variability. Building and Environment, 95, 199-208. 10.1016/j.buildenv.2015.09.024.

Yang, Y., H. Guan, O. Batelaan, T. R. McVicar, D. Long, S. Piao, W. Liang, B. Liu, Z. Jin, and C. T. Simmons, 2016: Contrasting responses of water use efficiency to drought across global terrestrial ecosystems. Scientific Reports, 6, 23284. 10.1038/srep23284

Yang, Y., D. L. Liu, M. R. Anwar, G. O’Leary, I. Macadam, and Y. Yang, 2016: Water use efficiency and crop water balance of rainfed wheat in a semi-arid environment: sensitivity of future changes to projected climate changes and soil type. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 123, 565-579. 10.1007/s00704-015-1376-3.

Yanshan, Y., D. Dommenget, C. Frauen, G. Wang, and S. Wales, 2016: ENSO diversity as a result of the recharge oscillator interacting with the slab ocean. Climate Dynamics, 46, 1665-1682. 10.1007/s00382-015-2667-1.

Ypma, S. L., E. van Sebille, A. E. Kiss, and P. Spence, 2016: The separation of the East Australian Current: a Lagrangian approach to potential vorticity and upstream control. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121, 758-774. 10.1002/2015JC011133.

Yu, J., L. Menviel, Z. D. Jin, D. J. R. Thornalley, S. Barker, G. Marino, E. J. Rohling, Y. Cai, F. Zhang, X. Wang, Y. Dai, P. Chen, and W. S. Broecker, 2016: Sequestration of carbon in the deep Atlantic during the last glaciation. Nature Geoscience, 9, 319-324. 10.1038/ngeo2657.

Zhang, Y., J. L. Peña-Arancibia, T. R. McVicar, F. H. S. Chiew, J. Vaze, C. Liu, X. Lu, H. Zheng, Y. Wang, Y. Y. Liu, D. G. Miralles, and M. Pan, 2016: Multi-decadal trends in global terrestrial evapotranspiration and its components. Scientific Reports, 6, 19124. 10.1038/srep19124.

Zhao, X., K. Strong, C. Adams, R. Schofield, X. Yang, A. Richter, U. Friess, A.-M. Blechschmidt, and J.-H. Koo, 2016: A case study of a transported bromine explosion event in the Canadian high arctic. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121, 2169-8996. 10.1002/2015JD023711.


Abellan, E. and S. McGregor, In Press: The role of the southward wind shift in both, the seasonal synchronization and duration of ENSO events. Climate Dynamics. 10.1007/s00382-015-2853-1.

Andrys, J., T. J. Lyons, and J. Kala, In Press: Evaluation of a WRF ensemble using GCM boundary conditions to quantify mean and extreme climate for the southwest of Western Australia (1970–1999). International Journal of Climatology. 10.1002/joc.4641.

Argueso, D., A. Di Luca, and J. P. Evans, In Press: Precipitation over urban areas in the western Maritime Continent using a convection-permitting model. Climate Dynamics. 10.1007/s00382-015-2893-6.

Argüeso, D., A. Di Luca, S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, and J. P. Evans, In Press: Seasonal mean temperature changes control future heat waves. Geophysical Research Letters. 10.1002/2016GL069408.

Ashcroft, L., J. Gergis, and D. J. Karoly, In Press: Long-term stationarity of El Niño-Southern Oscillation teleconnections in southeastern Australia. Climate Dynamics. 10.1007/s00382-015-2746-3.

Azorin-Molina, C., S. M. Vicente-Serrano, T. R. McVicar, J. Revuelto, S. Jerez, and J.-I. López-Moreno, In Press: Assessing the impact of measurement time interval when calculating wind speed means and trends under the stilling phenomenon. International Journal of Climatology. 10.1002/joc.4720.

Buchanan, P. J., R. J. Matear, A. Lenton, S. J. Phipps, Z. Chase, and D. Etheridge, In Press: The simulated climate of the Last Glacial Maximum and insights into the global carbon cycle. Clim. Past Discuss., 2016. 10.5194/cp-2016-73.

Choudhury, D., A. Sharma, A. Sen Gupta, R. Mehrotra, and B. Sivakumar, In Press: Sampling biases in CMIP5 decadal forecasts. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 10.1002/2016JD024804.

Davidson, J. L., A. Lyth, C. L. Baldwin, A. Dedekorkut-Howes, J. C. Ellison, N. J. Holbrook, M. J. Howes, C. Jacobson, S. Serrao-Neumann, L. Singh-Peterson, and T. F. Smith, In Press: Interrogating resilience: Towards a typology to improve its operationalization. Ecology and Society

Di Luca, A., J. P. Evans, A. Pepler, L. V. Alexander, and D. Argueso, In Press: Evaluating the representation of Lows to the east of Australia in a Regional Climate Model ensemble. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal

Donat, M. G., A. L. Lowry, L. V. Alexander, P. A. Ogorman, and N. Maher, In Press: More extreme precipitation in the world's dry and wet regions. Nature Climate Change. 10.1038/nclimate2941.

Fuchs, D. and S. Sherwood, In Press: Practical approximations to seasonal fluctuation-dissipation operators given a limited sample. Journal of Atmopheric Science. 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0279.1.

Gibson, P. B., S. E. Perkins, and J. A. Renwick, In Press: Projected changes in synoptic weather patterns over New Zealand examined through self-organising maps. International Journal of Climatology. 10.1002/joc.4604.

Gibson, P. B., P. Uotila, S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, L. V. Alexander, and A. Pitman, In Press: Evaluating synoptic systems in the CMIP5 climate models over the Australian region. Climate Dynamics. 10.1007/s00382-015-2961-y.

Gilmore, J. B., J. P. Evans, S. Sherwood, M. Ekstrom, and J. Fei, In Press: Extreme precipitation in WRF during the Newcastle East Coast Low of 2007. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. 10.1007/s00704-015-1551-6.

Gimeno, L., F. Dominguez, R. Nieto, R. Trigo, A. Drumond, C. J. C. Reason, A. S. Taschetto, A. M. Ramos, R. Kumar, and J. Marengo, In Press: Major Mechanisms of Atmospheric Moisture Transport and Their Role in Extreme Precipitation Events. Annual Review of Environment and Resources. 10.1146/annurev-environ-110615-085558.

Gottwald, G. A., K. Peters, and L. Davies, In Press: A data-driven method for the stochastic parametrisation of subgrid-scale tropical convective area fraction. . Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 10.1002/qj.2655.

Gross, M. H., L. V. Alexander, I. Macadam, D. Green, and J. P. Evans, In Press: The representation of health-relevant heatwave characteristics in a Regional Climate Model ensemble for New South Wales and the Australian Capital Territory, Australia. International Journal of Climatology. 10.1002/joc.4769.

Huiskamp, W. N., K. J. Meissner, and M. dOrgeville, In Press: Competition between ocean carbon pumps in simulations with varying southern hemisphere westerly wind forcing. Climate Dynamics. 10.1007/s00382-015-2781-0.

King, A. D., M. T. Black, S.-K. Min, E. M. Fischer, D. M. Mitchell, L. J. Harrington, and S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, In Press: Emergence of heat extremes attributable to anthropogenic influences. Geophysical Research Letters, 43. 10.1002/2015GL067448.

Kumar, V. V., A. Protat, C. Jakob, C. R. Williams, S. Rauniyar, G. L. Stephens, and P. T. May, In Press: The estimation of convective mass flux from radar reflectivities. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0193.1.

Lewis, S. C., In Press: Can public perceptions of Australian climate extremes be reconciled with the statistics of climate change? Weather and Climate Extremes. 10.1016/j.wace.2015.11.008.

Lewis, S. C. and D. J. Karoly, In Press: Quantitative estimates of anthropogenic contributions to extreme Australia- and state -wide monthly, seasonal and annual average temperatures. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal

Lewis, S. C., D. J. Karoly, A. D. King, S. E. Perkin, and M. G. Donat, In Press: Mechanisms explaining recent changes in Australia’s climate extremes. Climate Extremes: Patterns, Trends, and Mechanisms, American Geophysical Union.

Macadam, I., D. Argueso, J. P. Evans, D. L. Liu, and A. J. Pitman, In Press: The effect of bias correction and climate model resolution on wheat simulations forced with a Regional Climate Model ensemble. International Journal of Climatology. 10.1002/joc.4653.

Mann, M. E., B. A. Steinman, S. K. Miller, L. M. Frankcombe, M. H. England, and A. H. Cheung, In Press: Predictability of the Recent Slowdown and Subsequent Recovery of Large-Scale Surface Warming using Statistical Methods. Geophysical Research Letters. 10.1002/2016GL068159.

McGregor, S., A. Timmermann, and F.-F. Jin, In Press: Charging El Niño events with off-equatorial wind bursts? . Climate Dynamics. 10.1007/s00382-015-2891-8.

Mcinnes, K., C. J. White, I. D. Haigh, M. A. Hemer, R. K. Hoeke, N. J. Holbrook, A. S. Keim, E. C. J. Oliver, R. Ranasinghe, K. J. E. Walsh, S. Westra, and R. Cox, In Press: Natural hazards in Australia: sea level and coastal extremes. Climate Change. 10.1007/s10584-016-1647-8.

Oliver, E. C. J., In Press: Blind use of reanalysis data: Apparent trends in Madden-Julian Oscillation activity driven by observational changes. International Journal of Climatology. 10.1002/joc.4568.

Pepler, A. S., J. Fong, and L. V. Alexander, In Press: Australian east coast mid-latitude cyclones in the 20th Century Reanalysis ensemble. International Journal of Climatology. 10.1002/joc.4812.

Perkins, S. E., C. J. White, L. V. Alexander, D. Argueso, G. Boschat, T. Cowan, J. P. Evans, M. Ekstrom, E. C. J. Oliver, A. Phatak, and A. Purich, In Press: Natural hazards in Australia: heatwaves. Climate Change

Pookkandy, B., D. Dommenget, N. Klingaman, S. Wales, C. Chung, C. Frauen, and H. Wolff, In Press: The role of local atmospheric forcing on the modulation of the ocean mixed layer depth in reanalyses and a coupled single column ocean model. Climate Dynamics. 10.1007/s00382-016-3009-7.

Saenko, O. A., J. C. Fyfe, N. C. Swart, W. G. Lee, and M. H. England, In Press: Influence of tropical wind on global temperature from months to decades Climate Dynamics. 10.1007/s00382-015-2958-6.

Schuyler, Q. A., C. Wilcox, K. A. Townsend, K. R. Wedemeyer-Strombel, G. Balazs, E. van Sebille, and B. D. Hardesty, In Press: Risk analysis reveals global hotspots for marine debris ingestion by sea turtles. Global Change Biology. 10.1111/gcb.13078.

Schymanski, S. J., M. L. Roderick, and M. Sivapaian, In Press: Using an optimality model to understand medium and long-term responses of vegetation water use to elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations. AoB Plants, 7. 10.1093/aobpla/plv060.

Stewart, K. D. and T. W. N. Haine, In Press: Thermobaricity in the transition zones between alpha and beta oceans. Journal of Physical Oceanography. 10.1175/JPO-D-16-0017.1.

Taschetto, A. S., A. Sen Gupta, C. C. Ummenhofer, and M. H. England, In Press: Can Australian multi-year droughts and wet spells be generated in the absence of oceanic variability? Journal of Climate. 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0694.1.

Wang, G. and D. Dommenget, In Press: The leading modes of decadal SST variability in the Southern Ocean in CMIP5 simulations. Climate Dynamics. 10.1007/s00382-015-2932-3.

Warren, B., P. Christoff, and D. Green, In Press: Australia’s sustainable energy transition: The disjointed politics of decarbonisation. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions. 10.1016/j.eist.2016.01.001.

Yang, Y., H. Guan, O. Batelaan, T. R. McVicar, D. Long, S. Piao, W. Liang, B. Liu, Z. Jin, and C. T. Simmons, In Press: Contrasting responses of water use efficiency to drought across global terrestrial ecosystems. Scientific Reports, 6, 23284. 10.1038/srep23284.

Yit Sen Bull, C. and E. van Sebille, In Press: Sources, fate, and pathways of Leeuwin Current water in the Indian Ocean and Great Australian Bight: A Lagrangian study in an eddy-resolving ocean model. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans. 10.1002/2015JC011486.

Yue, R. P. H., H. F. Lee, and M. A. Hart, In Press: The human dimension of visibility degradation in a compact city. Natural Hazards. 10.1007/s11069-016-2263-7.

Zheng, X., S. J. Kao, Z. Chen, L. Menviel, H. Chen, Y. Du, S. Wan, H. Yan, Z. Liu, L. Zheng, S. Wang, D. Li, and X. Zhang, In Press: Deepwater circulation variation in the South China Sea since the Last Glacial Maximum. Geophysical Research Letters. 10.1002/2016GL070342.



Abram, N. J., H. V. McGregor, J. E. Tierney, M. N. Evans, N. P. McKay, D. S. Kaufman, K. J. Anchukaitis, K. Thirumalai, B. Martrat, H. Goosse, S. J. Phipps, E. J. Steig, K. H. Kilbourne, C. P. Saenger, J. Zinke, G. Leduc, J. A. Addison, P. G. Mortyn, M.-S. Seidenkrantz, M.-A. Sicre, K. Selvaraj, H. L. Filipsson, R. Neukom, J. Gergis, M. A. J. Curran, V. Trouet, and L. von Gunten, Submitted: The onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents. Nature

Aoki, S., K. J. Heywood, S. R. Rintoul, N. L. Bindoff, M. Naganobu, Y. Kitade, Y. Fukumachi, S. Schmidtko, and K. I. Ohshima, Submitted: Contribution of glacial melt and sea ice to freshwater content of Antarctic shelf waters. Nature 

Boschat, G., I. Simmonds, A. Purich, T. Cowan, and A. Pezza, Submitted: On the use of composite analyses to form physical hypotheses: An example from heat wave – SST associations. Scientific Reports

Boucharel, J., F. Jin, -F, M. H. England, B. Dewitte, I. I. Lin, H.-C. Huang, and M. A. Balmaseda, Submitted: Influence of oceanic intraseasonal Kelvin waves on the Eastern Pacific hurricane activity. Journal of Climate

Chapman, C. C., Submitted: Detection of oceanic jets using wavelets and higher order statistics. Ocean Modelling

Dittus, A. J., D. J. Karoly, S. C. Lewis, and L. V. Alexander, Submitted: A Multiregion Assessment of Observed Changes in the Areal Extent of Temperature and Precipitation Extremes. Journal of Climate, 28, 9206-9220. 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00753.1.

England, M. H., D. K. Hutchinson, A. Santoso, and W. Sijp, Submitted: Ice-atmosphere feedbacks dominate the response of the climate system. Journal of Climate

Gimeno, L., F. Domingues, R. Nieto, R. Trigo, A. Drumond, C. J. C. REason, A. S. Tashetto, A. Ramos, R. Kumar, and J. Marengo, Submitted: Major mechanisms of atmospheric moisture transport and their role in extreme precipitation events

Graham, F. S., J. N. Brown, A. T. Wittenberg, S. J. Marsland, and N. J. Holbrook, Submitted: Understanding the double peaked El Niño in coupled GCMs. Climate Dynamics

Groeskamp, S., J. D. Zika, T. J. McDougall, B. M. Sloyan, and F. Laliberte, Submitted: Analysis of ocean circulation in thermohaline-coordinates: Introducing the stationary thermohaline streamfunction.  . Journal of Physical Oceanography

Kajtar, J. B., A. Santoso, M. H. England, and W. Cai, Submitted: Tropical Climate Variability: Interactions across the Pacific, Indian, and Atlantic Oceans. Climate Dynamics

King, M., M. C. Wheeler, and T. P. Lane, Submitted: Convective coupling with the 5-day Rossby Haurwitz wave. Journal of Atmospheric Science

Lewis, S. C. and A. D. King, Submitted: Characteristics of the shifting probability distribution of temperatures in CMIP5. Climate Change

Li, Y., D. L. Liu, G. Schwenke, B. Wang, I. Macadam, W. Wang, G. Li, and R. C. Dalal, Submitted: Responses of nitrous oxide emissions from crop rotation systems to four projected future climate change scenarios on a black Vertosol in subtropical Australia. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology

McDonald, R. I., H. Y. Chai, and N. B.R., Submitted: Bringing Climate Change home: Reconciling Personal Experience and Psychological Distance. Perspectives on Psychological Science

Nearing, G. S. and H. V. Gupta, Submitted: Quantifying Induction: On the Amount and Quality of Information in a Model. Journal of Geophysical Research

Newell, B. R., R. I. McDonald, and T. F. Denson, Submitted: Would you rule out going green? The effect of inclusion, exclusion and social pressure on pro-environmental attitudes and behavior. . European Journal of Social Psychology

Oliver, E. C. J., M. G. Donat, M. T. Burrows, P. J. Moore, D. A. Smale, L. V. Alexander, J. A. Benthuysen, M. Feng, A. Sen Gupta, A. J. Hobday, N. J. Holbrook, S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, H. A. Scannell, S. C. Straub, and T. Wernberg, Submitted: Ocean warming brings longer and more frequent marine heatwaves. Science

Oliver, E. C. J., M. Herzfeld, and N. J. Holbrook, Submitted: Modelling the shelf circulation off eastern Tasmania. Continental Shelf Research

Perkins, S. E., D. Argueso, and C. J. White, Submitted: Understanding the influence of climate variability on Australian heatwaves. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

Perkins, S. E., S. C. Lewis, A. D. King, and L. V. Alexander, Submitted: The amplification of Australian heatwave characteristics due to anthropogenic influence. Journal of Climate

Peters, K., T. Crueger, C. Jakob, and B. Mobis, Submitted: Improved MJO-simulation in ECHAM6.3 by coupling a Stochastic Multicloud Model to the convection scheme. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Phipps, S. J., A. Lenton, L. D. Rotstayn, A. Sen Gupta, D. Ji, J. C. Moore, U. Niemeier, H. Schmidt, and S. Tilmes, Submitted: Modulation of the Southern Hemisphere climate by solar radiation management. Geophysical Research Letters

Roach, C., H. E. Phillips, N. L. Bindoff, and S. R. Rintoul, Submitted: A Spectral View of Ekman Currents In the Kerguelen Island Region. Journal of Physical Oceanography

Sapriza-Azuri, G., J. Jodar-Bermudez, J. Carrera-Ramirez, and H. V. Gupta, Submitted: A Circulation Pattern-Based Approach to Evaluating the Combined Impacts of Climate Change and Groundwater Pumping on Catchment Dynamics. Journal of Hydrology

Seneviratne, S. I., S. J. Phipps, A. J. Pitman, M. G. Donat, A. Lenton, E. L. Davin, and M. Wilhelm, Submitted: Regional land radiative management: An avenue for low-regret climate engineering? Nature Climate Change

Sheen, K. L., J. A. Brearley, A. C. Naveira-Garabato, D. A. Smeed, L. S. Laurent, M. P. Meredith, A. M. Thurnherr, and S. N. Waterman, Submitted: Modification of turbulent dissipation rates by a deep Southern Ocean eddy. Geophysical Research Letters

Taschetto A.S., A. Sen Gupta, C. C. Ummenhofer, and M. H. England, Submitted: Stochastically-forced multi-year to decadal variability in Australian rainfall. Journal of Climate

Thomas, Z. A., C. S. M. Turney, A. P. Kershaw, R. T. Jones, I. W. Croudace, P. T. Moss, T. Herbert, M. J. Grosvenor, R. A. J. Wust, J. Brown, J. Muller, M. E. Kylander, S. Rule, S. C. Lewis, and S. E. Coulter, Submitted: El Niño variability subdued by interglacial warming. Nature Clim. Change

Turney, C. S. M., R. Jones, S. J. Phipps, Z. Thomas, A. Hogg, A. P. Kershaw, C. J. Fogwill, J. Palmer, C. Bronk Ramsey, F. Adolphi, R. Muscheler, K. A. Hughen, R. A. Staff, M. Grosvenor, N. R. Golledge, and S. Haberle, Submitted: Antarctic Forcing of Abrupt Global Climate Change during Isotope Stage 3. Global Planetary Change

Wang, B., D. Li Liu, I. Macadam, L. V. Alexander, G. Abramowitz, and Q. Yu, Submitted: Multi-model ensemble projections of future extreme temperature change using a statistical downscaling method in south eastern Australia. Climate Change

White, C. J., H. Carlsen, A. W. Robertson, R. Klein, J. K. Lazo, A. Kumar, F. Vitart, E. Coughlan, A. J. Ray, V. Murray, S. Bharwani, D. MacLeod, R. James, L. Fleming, A. P. Morse, B. Eggen, R. Graham, E. Kjellstrom, E. Becker, K. V. Pegion, N. J. Holbrook, D. McEvoy, M. Depledge, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, T. J. Brown, R. Street, T. A. Remenyi, I. Hodgson-Johnston, C. Buontempo, R. Lamb, H. Meinke, B. Arheimer, S. E. Zebiak, and A. Jones, Submitted: Applications of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictions. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Xiao, X., K. S. Smith, and S. R. Keating, Submitted: The effect of surface buoyancy gradients on oceanic Rossby wave propagation. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans. arXiv:1407.8255.

Zhang, H., H. Beggs, L. Majewski, H. X. Wang, and A. E. Kiss, Submitted: Investigating Sea Surface Temperature Diurnal Variation over the Tropical Warm Pool Using MTSAT-1R Data. Remote Sensing of Environment

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