Publications 2014

This publication list is ordered alphabetically by lead author. To obtain a copy of any of these publications contact the relevant team member via the Centre Team page.

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2014

JOURNAL ARTICLE

Abram, N. J., R. Mulvaney, F. Vimeux, S. J. Phipps, J. Turner, and M. H. England, 2014: Evolution of the Southern Annular Mode during the past millennium. Nature Climate Change, 4,564-569. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2235

Ackerley, D., G. Berry, C. Jakob, and M. J. Reeder, 2014: The roles of diurnal forcing and large-scale moisture transport for initiating rain over northwest Australia in a GCM. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140, 2515-2526. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.2316

Ajami, H., M. F. McCabe, J. P. Evans, and S. Stisen, 2014: Assessing the impact of model spin-up on surface water-groundwater interactions using an integrated hydrologic model. Water Resources Research, 50, 2636-2656. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013WR014258

Ajami, H., J. P. Evans, M. F. McCabe, and S. Stisen, 2014: Technical Note: Reducing the spin-up time of integrated surface water–groundwater models. Hydrology and Earth Sysem Sciences,18, 5169-5179. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-5169-2014

Allen, J. T. and D. J. Karoly, 2014: A climatology of Australian severe thunderstorm environments 1979–2011: inter-annual variability and ENSO influence. International Journal of Climatology, 34, 81-97. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3667

Allen, J. T., D. J. Karoly, and K. J. Walsh, 2014: Future Australian severe thunderstorm environments, Part I:  A novel evaluation and climatology of convective parameters from two climate models for the late 20th century. Journal of Climate, 27, 3827-3847.http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00425.1

Allen, J. T., D. J. Karoly, and K. J. Walsh, 2014: Future Australian severe thunderstorm environments, Part II: The influence of a strongly warming climate on convective environments.Journal of Climate, 27, 3848-3868. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00426.1

Argueso, D., J. P. Evans, L. Fita, and K. J. Bormann, 2014: Temperature response to future urbanization and climate change. Climate Dynamics, 42, 2183-2199.http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1789-6

Ashcroft, L., J. Gergis, and D. J. Karoly, 2014: A historical climate dataset for southeastern Australia, 1788–1859. Geoscience Data Journal, 1, 158-178. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.19

Ashok, K., C. Nagaraju, A. S. Gupta, and D. S. Pai, 2014: Decadal changes in the relationship between the Indian and Australian summer monsoons. Climate Dynamics, 42, 1043-1052.http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1625-4

Ayers, J. M., P. G. Strutton, V. J. Coles, R. R. Hood, and R. J. Matear, 2014: Indonesian Throughflow nutrient fluxes and their potential impact on Indian Ocean productivity. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 5060-5067. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060593

Bakker, P., V. Masson-Delmotte, B. Martrat, S. Charbit, H. Renssen, M. Groger, U. Krebs-Kanzow, G. Lohman, D. J. Lunt, M. Pfeiffer, S. J. Phipps, M. Prange, S. P. Ritz, M. Schulz, B. Stenni, E. J. Stone, and V. Varma, 2014: Temperature trends during the Present and Last interglacial periods - A multi-model-data comparison. Quaternary Science Reviews, 99, 224-243.http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.06.031

Bates, A. E., N. S. Barrett, R. D. Stuart-Smith, N. J. Holbrook, P. A. Thompson, and G. J. Edgar, 2014: Resilience and signatures of tropicalization in protected reef fish communities. Nature Climate Change, 4, 62-67.http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2062

Bayr, T. and D. Dommenget, 2014: Comparing the spatial structure of variability in two datasets against each other on the basis of EOF-modes. Climate Dynamics, 42, 1631-1648.http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1708-x

Bayr, T., D. Dommenget, T. Martin, and S. B. Power, 2014: The eastward shift of the Walker Circulation in response to global warming and its relationship to ENSO variability. Climate Dynamics, 43, 2747-2763. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2091-y

Benthuysen, J., R. Furue, J. P. McCreary, N. L. Bindoff, and H. E. Phillips, 2014: Dynamics of the Leeuwin Current: Part 2. Impacts of mixing, friction, and advection on a buoyancy-driven eastern boundary current over a shelf. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 65, 39-63.http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2013.10.004

Benthuysen, J., M. Feng, and L. Zhong, 2014: Spatial patterns of warming off Western Australia during the 2011 Ningaloo Nino: quantifying impacts of remote and local forcing. Continental Shelf Research, 91, 232-246. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.csr.2014.09.014

Berry, G., and M. J. Reeder, 2014: Objective Identification of the Intertropical Convergence Zone: Climatology and Trends from the ERA-Interim. Journal of Climate, 27, 1894-1909.http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00339.1

Birch, C. E., M. J. Reeder, and G. J. Berry, 2014: Wave-cloud lines over the Arabian Sea.Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119, 4447-4457.http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013JD021347

Borlace, S., A. Santoso, W. Cai, and M. Collins, 2014: Extreme swings of the South Pacific Convergence Zone and the different types of El Niño events. Geophysical Research Letters, 41,4695-4703. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060551

Bormann, K. J., J. P. Evans, and M. F. McCabe, 2014: Constraining snowmelt in a temperature-index model using simulated snow densities. Journal of Hydrology, 517, 652-667.10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.05.073

Bralower, T. J., K. J. Meissner, K. Alexander, and D. J. Thomas, 2014: The dynamics of global change at the Paleocene-Eocene thermal maximum: A data-model comparison. Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems, 15, 3830-3848. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GC005474

Brearley, J. A., K. L. Sheen, A. C. Naveira Garabato, D. A. Smeed, K. G. Speer, A. M. Thurnherr, M. P. Meredith, and S. Waterman, 2014: Deep boundary current disintegration in Drake Passage. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 121-127. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058617

Cai, W., S. Borlace, M. Lengaigne, P. van Rensch, M. Collins, G. Vecchi, A. Timmermann, A. Santoso, M. J. McPhaden, L. Wu, M. H. England, G. Wang, E. Guilyardi, and F.-F. Jin, 2014: Increasing frequency of extreme El Nino events due to greenhouse warming. . Nature Climate Change, 4, 111-116.http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2100

Cai, W., A. Santoso, G. Wang, E. Weller, L. Wu, K. Ashok, Y. Masumoto, and T. Yamagata, 2014: Increased frequency of extreme Indian Ocean Dipole events due to greenhouse warming.Nature, 510, 254-258. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature13327

Caley, T., F. J. C. Peeters, A. Biastoch, L. Rossignol, E. van Sebille, J. Durgadoo, B. Malaizé, J. Giraudeau, K. Arthur, and R. Zahn, 2014: Quantitative estimate of the paleo-Agulhas leakage.Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 1238-1246. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059278

Catto, J. L., N. Nicholls, C. Jakob, and K. L. Shelton, 2014: Atmospheric fronts in current and future climates. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 7642-7650.http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061943

Cetina-Heredia, P., M. Roughan, E. van Sebille, and M. A. Coleman, 2014: Long-term trends in the East Australian Current separation latitude and eddy driven transport. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 119, 4351-4366.http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014JC010071

Chakraborty, J. and G. Donna, 2014: Australia's first national level quantitative environmental justice assessment of industrial air pollution. Environmental Research Letters, 9, 1-10.http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/4/044010 (open access)

Chakraborty, J., and D. Green, 2014: The relationship between industrial air pollution and social disadvantage in Australia: national and regional inequities. Air Quality and Climate Change Journal, 48, 35-38.

Chapman, C. C. and R. Morrow, 2014: Variability of Southern Ocean Jets near Topography.Journal of Physical Oceanography, 44, 676-693.http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-13-0182.1

Chapman, C. C., 2014: Southern Ocean Jets and Where to Find Them: Improving and Comparing Common Jet Detection Methods. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 119,4318-4339. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014JC009810

Cheung, C. S. C. and M. A. Hart, 2014: Climate change and thermal comfort in Hong Kong.International Journal of Biometeorology, 58, 137-148. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00484-012-0608-9

Cowan, T., A. Purich, S. E. Perkins, A. B. Pezza, G. Boschat, and K. Sadler, 2014: More Frequent, Longer, and Hotter Heat Waves for Australia in the Twenty-First Century. Journal of Climate, 27, 5851-5871. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00092.1

Cowan, T., A. Purich, G. Boschat, and S. E. Perkins, 2014: Future projections of Australian heat wave number and intensity based on CMIP5 models. Bulletin of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, 27, 134-139. http://www.amos.org.au/documents/item/731

De Boer, A. M. and A. M. Hogg, 2014: Control of the glacial carbon budget by topographically induced mixing. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 4277-4284.http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059963

Decker, M., A. J. Pitman, and J. Evans, 2014: Applying Scaled Vegetation Greenness Metrics to Constrain Simulated Transpiration Anomalies: A Study over Australia. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15, 1607-1623. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-070.1

Dijkstra, H. A., J. A. Saenz, and A. M. C. Hogg, 2014: Energetics of Multidecadal Atlantic Ocean Variability. Journal of Climate, 27, 7874-7889. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00801.1

Dittus, A. J., D. J. Karoly, S. C. Lewis, and L. V. Alexander, 2014: An investigation of some unexpected frost day trends in southern Australia. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal. http://www.bom.gov.au/amoj/docs/2014/dittus.pdf

Dommenget, D., S. Haase, T. Bayr, and C. Frauen, 2014: Analysis of the Slab Ocean El Nino atmospheric feedbacks in observed and simulated ENSO dynamics. Climate Dynamics, 42,3187-3205. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2057-0

Donat, M. G., T. C. Peterson, M. Brunet, A. D. King, M. Almazroui, R. K. Kolli, D. Boucherf, A. Y. Al-Mulla, A. Y. Nour, A. A. Aly, T. A. A. Nada, M. M. Semawi, H. A. A. Dashti, T. G. Salhab, K. I. El Fadli, M. K. Muftah, S. D. Eida, W. Badi, F. Driouech, K. E. Rhaz, M. J. Y. Abubaker, A. S. Ghulam, A. S. Erayah, M. B. Mansour, W. O. Alabdouli, J. S. A. Dhanhani, and M. N. Al Shekaili, 2014: Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the Arab region: long-term trends and variability related to ENSO and NAO. International Journal of Climatology, 34, 581-592.http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3707

Donat, M. G., J. Sillmann, S. Wild, L. V. Alexander, T. Lippmann, and F. Zwiers, 2014: Consistency of temperature and precipitation extremes across various global gridded in situ and reanalysis data sets. Journal of Climate, 27, 5019-5035. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00405.1

Donohue, R. J., I. H. Hume, M. L. Roderick, T. R. McVicar, J. Beringer, L. B. Hutley, J. C. Gallant, J. M. Austin, E. van Gorsel, J. R. Cleverly, W. S. Meyer, and S. K. Arndt, 2014: Evaluation of the remote-sensing-based DIFFUSE model for estimating photosynthesis of vegetation. Remote Sensing of Environment, 155, 349-365.http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2014.09.007

Dunn, R. J. H., M. G. Donat, and L. V. Alexander, 2014: Investigating uncertainties in global gridded datasets of climate extremes. Climate of the Past, 10, 2171-2199.http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-2171-2014

England, M. H., S. McGregor, P. Spence, G. A. Meehl, A. Timmermann, W. Cai, A. Sen Gupta, M. J. McPhaden, A. Purich, and A. Santoso, 2014: Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus. Nature Climate Change, 4, 222-227.http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2106

Ershadi, A., M. F. McCabe, J. P. Evans, N. W. Chaney, and E. F. Wood, 2014: Multi-site evaluation of terrestrial evaporation models using FLUXNET data. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 187, 46-61. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2013.11.008

Evans, J. P., F. Ji, C. Lee, P. Smith, D. Argueso, and L. Fita, 2014: Design of a regional climate modelling projection ensemble experiment – NARCliM. Geoscientific Model Development,7, 621-629. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-621-2014

Exbrayat, J.-F., W. Buytaert, E. Timbe, D. Windhorst, and L. Breuer, 2014: Addressing sources of uncertainty in runoff projections for a data scarce catchment in the Ecuadorian Andes.Climatic Change, 125, 221-235. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1160-x

Exbrayat, J. F., A. J. Pitman, and G. Abramowitz, 2014: Response of microbial decomposition to spin-up explains CMIP5 soil carbon range until 2100. Geoscientific Model Development, 7, 2683-2692. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-2683-2014

Exbrayat, J. F., A. J. Pitman, and G. Abramowitz, 2014: Disentangling residence time and temperature sensitivity of microbial decomposition in a global soil carbon model.Biogeosciences, 11, 6999-7008. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-11-6999-2014

Frauen, C., D. Dommenget, N. Tyrrell, M. Rezny, and S. Wales, 2014: Analysis of the Nonlinearity of El Nino Southern Oscillation Teleconnections. Journal of Climate, 27, 6225-6244. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00757.1

Frey, W., S. Borrmann, F. Fierli, R. Weigel, V. Mitev, R. Matthey, F. Ravegnani, N. M. Sitnikov, A. Ulanovsky, and F. Cairo, 2014: Tropical deep convective life cycle: Cb-anvil cloud microphysics from high altitude aircraft observations. Atmospheric Chemistry and Phyics, 14,13223-13240. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-13223-2014

Froyland, G., R. M. Stuart, and E. van Sebille, 2014: How well-connected is the surface of the global ocean? Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 24.http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.4892530

Gallant, A. J. E., D. J. Karoly, and K. L. Gleason, 2014: Consistent Trends in a Modified Climate Extremes Index in the U.S.A., Europe and Australia. Journal of Climate, 27, 1379-1394.http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00783.1

Gaube, P., D. J. McGillicuddy, D. B. Chelton, M. J. Behrenfeld, and P. G. Strutton, 2014: Regional variations in the influence of mesoscale eddies on near-surface chlorophyll. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 119, 8195-8220. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014JC010111

Golledge, N. R., L. Menviel, L. Carter, C. J. Fogwill, M. H. England, G. Cortese, and R. H. Levy, 2014: Antarctic contribution to meltwater pulse 1A from reduced Southern Ocean overturning.Nature Communications, 5. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms6107

Goodwin, I. D., and Coauthors, 2014: A reconstruction of extratropical Indo-Pacific sea-level pressure patterns during the Medieval Climate Anomaly. Climate Dynamics, 43, 1197-1219.http:///www.dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1899-1

Govekar, P. D., C. Jakob, and J. Catto, 2014: The relationship between clouds and dynamics in Southern Hemisphere extratropical cyclones in the real world and a climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119, 6609-6628. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013JD020699

Graham, F. S., J. N. Brown, C. Langlais, S. J. Marsland, A. T. Wittenberg, and N. J. Holbrook, 2014: Effectiveness of the Bjerknes stability index in representing ocean dynamics. Climate Dynamics, 43, 2399-2414. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2062-3

Green, D. and L. Minchin, 2014: Living on Climate-Changed Country: Indigenous Health, Well-Being and Climate Change in Remote Australian Communities. EcoHealth, 11, 263-272.http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10393-013-0892-9

Grose, M., P. Fox-Hughes, R. M. B. Harris, and N. L. Bindoff, 2014: Changes to the drivers of fire weather with a warming climate - a case study of southeast Tasmania. Climatic Change,124, 255-269. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1070-y

Gupta, H. V., and G. S. Nearing, 2014: Debates—the future of hydrological sciences: A (common) path forward? Using models and data to learn: A systems theoretic perspective on the future of hydrological science. Water Resources Research, 50, 5351-5359.http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013WR015096

Gupta, H. V., C. Perrin, G. Blöschl, A. Montanari, R. Kumar, M. Clark, and V. Andréassian, 2014: Large-sample hydrology: a need to balance depth with breadth. Hydrology and Earth Sysem Sciences, 18, 463-477. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-463-2014

Hankinson, M. C. N., M. J. Reeder, and T. P. Lane, 2014: Gravity Waves Generated by Convection during TWP-ICE. Part I: Inertia-Gravity Waves. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119, 5269-5282. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013JD020724

Hankinson, M. C. N., M. J. Reeder, and T. P. Lane, 2014: Gravity Waves Generated by Convection during TWP-ICE. Part II: High-Frequency Gravity Waves. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119, 5257-5268. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013JD020726

Hankinson, M. C. N., M. J. Reeder, N. E. Davidson, and K. Puri, 2014: Vacillation cycles in simulations of hurricane Katrina. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140,1878-1888. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.2275

Harris, R. M. B., M. R. Grose, G. Lee, N. L. Bindoff, L. L. Porfirio, and P. Fox-Hughes, 2014: Climate projections for ecologists. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 5, 621-637.http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wcc.291

Hassim, M. E. E., T. P. Lane, and P. T. May, 2014: Ground-based observations of overshooting convection during the Tropical Warm Pool-International Cloud Experiment. Journal of Geophysical Research, 119, 880-905. http://www.dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013JD020673

Haughton, N., G. Abramowitz, A. J. Pitman, and S. J. Phipps, 2014: On the Generation of Climate Model Ensembles. Climate Dynamics, 43, 2297-2308. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2054-3

Heikkila, U., X. Shi, S. J. Phipps, and A. M. Smith, 2014: 10Be in late deglacial climate simulated by ECHAM5-HAM - Part 2: Isolating the solar signal from 10Be deposition. Climate of the Past, 10, 687-696. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-687-2014 (open access)

Hellweger, F. L., E. van Sebille, and N. D. Fredreck, 2014: Biogeographic patterns in ocean microbes emerge in a neutral agentbased model. Science, 345, 1346-1349. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1254421

Hirsch, A. L., J. Kala, A. J. Pitman, C. Carouge, J. P. Evans, V. Haverd, and D. Mocko, 2014: Impact of Land Surface Initialisation Approach on Sub-seasonal Forecast Skill: A Regional Analysis in the Southern Hemisphere. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15, 300-319.http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-05.1

Hirsch, A. L., A. J. Pitman, S. I. Seneviratne, J. P. Evans, and V. Haverd, 2014: Summertime maximum and minimum temperature coupling asymmetry over Australia determined using WRF.Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 1546-1552. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013GL059055

Hirsch, A. L., A. J. Pitman, and J. Kala, 2014: The role of land cover change in modulating the soil moisture-temperature land-atmosphere coupling strength over Australia. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 5883-5890. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061179

Hogg, A. M. and D. R. Munday, 2014: Does the sensitivity of Southern Ocean circulation depend upon bathymetric details? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical,  Physical and Engineering Sciences, 372, 1-11. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2013.0050

Holbrook, N., J. Li, M. Collins, E. Di Lorenzo, F.-F. Jin, T. R. Knutson, M. Latif, C. Li, S. B. Power, R. Huang, and G. Wu, 2014: Decadal climate variability and cross-scale interactions: ICCL 2013 Expert Assessment Workshop. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95,ES155-ES158. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00201.1

Hollander, H. M., H. Bormann, T. Blume, W. Buytaert, G. B. Chirico, J. F. Exbrayat, D. Gustafsson, H. Holzel, T. Krausse, P. Kraft, S. Stoll, G. Bloschl, and H. Fluhler, 2014: Impact of modellers' decisions on hydrological a priori predictions. Hydrology Earth System Science, 18, 2065-2085. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2065-2014

Horn, M., K. J. E. Walsh, M. Zhao, S. J. Camargo, E. Scoccimarro, H. Murakami, H. Wang, A. Ballinger, A. Kumar, D. Shaevitz, J. Jonas, and K. Oouchi, 2014: Tracking scheme dependence of simulated tropical cyclone response to idealized climate simulations. Journal of Climate, 27,9197-9213. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00200.1

Jakob, C., 2014: Going back to basics. Nature Climate Change, 4, 1042-1045.http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2445

Kala, J., M. Decker, J.-F. Exbrayat, A. J. Pitman, C. Carouge, J. P. Evans, G. Abramowitz, and D. Mocko, 2014: Influence of leaf area index prescriptions on simulations of heat, moisture, and carbon fluxes. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15, 489-503.http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-063.1

Kala, J., J. P. Evans, A. J. Pitman, C. B. Schaaf, M. Decker, C. Carouge, D. Mocko, and Q. Sun, 2014: Implementation of a soil albedo scheme in the CABLEv1.4b land surface model and evaluation against MODIS estimates over Australia. Geoscientific Model Development.http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-2121-2014

Karoly, D. J., 2014: Climate change: Human-induced rainfall changes. Nature Geoscience, 7,551-552. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2207

Kim, S.-T., W. Cai, F.-F. Jin, A. Santoso, L. Wu, E. Guilpardi, and S.-I. An, 2014: Response of El Nino sea surface temperature variability to greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change, 4,786-790. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2326

King, A. D., N. P. Klingaman, L. V. Alexander, M. G. Donat, N. C. Jourdain, and P. Maher, 2014: Extreme rainfall variability in Australia: Patterns, drivers, and predictability. Journal of Climate,27, 6035-6050. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00715.1

King, A. D., D. J. Karoly, M. G. Donat, and L. V. Alexander, 2014: Climate Change turns Australia's 2013 Big Dry into a Year of Record-Breaking Heat [in "Explaining Extreme Events of 2013 from a Climate Perspective"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95, S41-S45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477-95.9.S1.1

Kumar, V. V., A. Protat, C. Jakob, and P. T. May, 2014: On the Atmospheric Regulation of the Growth of Moderate to Deep Cumulonimbus in a Tropical Environment. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 71, 1105-1120. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-13-0231.1

Lane, T. P. and R. D. Sharman, 2014: Intensity of thunderstorm-generated turbulence revealed by large-eddy simulation. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 2221-2227.http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059299

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Whan, K., L. V. Alexander, A. Imielska, S. McGree, D. Jones, E. Ene, S. Finaulahi, K. Inape, L. Jacklick, R. Kumar, V. Laurent, H. Malala, P. Malsale, R. Pulehetoa-Mitiepo, M. Ngemaes, A. Peltier, A. Porteous, S. Seuseu, E. Skilling, L. Tahani, U. Toorua, and M. Vaiimene, 2014: Trends and variability of temperature extremes in the tropical Western Pacific. International Journal of Climatology, 34, 2585-2603. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3861

Widlansky, M. J., A. Timmermann, S. McGregor, M. F. Stuecker, and W. Cai, 2014: An interhemispheric tropical sea level seesaw due to El Nino Taimasa. Journal of Climate, 27, 1070-1081. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00276.1

Willett, K., C. Williams, I. T. Jolliffe, R. Lund, L. V. Alexander, S. Brönnimann, L. A. Vincent, S. Easterbrook, V. K. C. Venema, D. Berry, R. E. Warren, G. Lopardo, R. Auchmann, E. Aguilar, M. J. Menne, C. Gallagher, Z. Hausfather, T. Thorarinsdottir, and P. W. Thorne, 2014: A framework for benchmarking of homogenisation algorithm performance on the global scale. Geoscientific Instrumentation, Methods and Data Systems, 3, 187-200. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gi-3-187-2014

Yang, Y.-M., Y.-H. Yang, S. Han, I. Macadam, and D. L. Liu, 2014: Prediction of cotton yield and water demand under climate change and future adaptation measures. Agricultural Water Management, 144, 42-53. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2014.06.001

Yano, J.-I., and T. P. Lane, 2014: Convectively-Generated Gravity Waves Simulated by NAM-SCA. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119, 9267-9289. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013JD021419

Yin, D., M. L. Roderick, G. Leech, F. Sun, and Y. Huang, 2014: The contribution of reduction in evaporative cooling to higher surface air temperatures during drought. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 7891-7897. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062039

Yu, J., R. F. Anderson, Z. Jin, L. Menviel, F. Zhang, F. J. Ryerson, and E. J. Rohling, 2014: Deep South Atlantic carbonate chemistry and increased interocean deep water exchange during last deglaciation. Quaternary Science Reviews, 90, 80-89.http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.02.018

Zhang, Q., Y. P. Wang, R. J. Matear, A. J. Pitman, and Y. J. Dai, 2014: Nitrogen and phosphorous limitations significantly reduce future allowable CO2 emissions. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 632-637. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058352

Zheng, F., S. Westra, M. Leonard, and S. A. Sisson, 2014: Modeling dependence between extreme rainfall and storm surge to estimate coastal flooding risk. Water Resources Research,50, 2050-2071. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013WR014616

Zhou, L., Y. Tian, R. B. Myneni, P. Ciais, S. Saatchi, Y. Y. Liu, S. Piao, H. Chen, E. F. Vermote, C. Song, and T. Hwang, 2014: Widespread decline of Congo rainforest greenness in the past decade. Nature, 509, 86-90. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature13265

Zovko-Rajak, D., and T. P. Lane, 2014: The generation of near-cloud turbulence in idealized simulations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 71, 2430-2451. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-13-0346.1

 

 

REPORTS

Lewis, S. C. and D. J. Karoly, 2014: 'Attributing Australia’s record warm summer 2012/2013 and record warm calendar year 2013 to human influences' In WMO statement on the status of the global climate in 2013, 20-21 pp.

Assessment for Decision-Makers for the WMO/UNEP Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 2014, World Meteorological Organization, Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project - Report No. 56. Geneva, Switzerland. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/csd/assessments/ozone/
David Karoly (member of Scientific Steering Committee); Robyn Schofield (chapter Co-Author)

Research Data Infrastructure Committee, The Australian Research Data Infrastructure Strategy.http://docs.education.gov.au/node/36649

Andy Pitman: Committee Member

Steffen, W., L. Hughes, and S. E. Perkins, 2014: Heatwaves: Hotter, Longer, More Often.http://www.climatecouncil.org.au/heatwaves-report

 

IPCC

Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis

ARCCSS Lead Authors: Lisa V. Alexander, Julie Arblaster, Nathaniel L. Bindoff, Christian Jakob, Scott B. Power, Steven Sherwood

ARCCSS Contributing Authors: Jennifer Catto, Markus Donat, Shayne McGregor, Viviane Vasconcellos de Menezes, Peter Rayner, Kevin Walsh, Susan Wijffels

ARCCSS Review Editors: Andy Pitman

Technical Summary
Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, L.V. Alexander, S.K. Allen, N.L. Bindoff, F.-M. Bréon, J.A. Church, U. Cubasch, S. Emori, P. Forster, P. Friedlingstein, N. Gillett, J.M. Gregory, D.L. Hartmann, E. Jansen, B. Kirtman, R. Knutti, K. Krishna Kumar, P. Lemke, J. Marotzke, V. Masson-Delmotte, G.A. Meehl, I.I. Mokhov, S. Piao, V. Ramaswamy, D. Randall, M. Rhein, M. Rojas, C. Sabine, D. Shindell, L.D. Talley, D.G. Vaughan and S.-P. Xie, 2013: Technical Summary. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Chapter 2 (Ch.2 Supp Mat)
Hartmann, D.L., A.M.G. Klein Tank, M. Rusticucci, L.V. Alexander, S. Brönnimann, Y. Charabi, F.J. Dentener, E.J. Dlugokencky, D.R. Easterling, A. Kaplan, B.J. Soden, P.W. Thorne, M. Wild and P.M. Zhai, 2013: Observations: Atmosphere and Surface. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Chapter 3
Rhein, M., S.R. Rintoul, S. Aoki, E. Campos, D. Chambers, R.A. Feely, S. Gulev, G.C. Johnson, S.A. Josey, A. Kostianoy, C. Mauritzen, D. Roemmich, L.D. Talley and F. Wang, 2013:Observations: Ocean. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA

Chapter 5
Masson-Delmotte, V., M. Schulz, A. Abe-Ouchi, J. Beer, A. Ganopolski, J.F. González Rouco, E. Jansen, K. Lambeck, J. Luterbacher, T. Naish, T. Osborn, B. Otto-Bliesner, T. Quinn, R. Ramesh, M. Rojas, X. Shao and A. Timmermann, 2013: Information from Paleoclimate Archives. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Chapter 6 (Ch.6 Supp Mat)
Ciais, P., C. Sabine, G. Bala, L. Bopp, V. Brovkin, J. Canadell, A. Chhabra, R. DeFries, J. Galloway, M. Heimann, C. Jones, C. Le Quéré, R.B. Myneni, S. Piao and P. Thornton, 2013:Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA

Chapter 7 (Ch.7 Supp Mat)
Boucher, O., D. Randall, P. Artaxo, C. Bretherton, G. Feingold, P. Forster, V.-M. Kerminen, Y. Kondo, H. Liao, U. Lohmann, P. Rasch, S.K. Satheesh, S. Sherwood, B. Stevens and X.Y. Zhang, 2013: Clouds and Aerosols. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Chapter 9
Flato, G., J. Marotzke, B. Abiodun, P. Braconnot, S.C. Chou, W. Collins, P. Cox, F. Driouech, S. Emori, V. Eyring, C. Forest, P. Gleckler, E. Guilyardi, C. Jakob, V. Kattsov, C. Reason and M. Rummukainen, 2013: Evaluation of Climate Models. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA

Chapter 10 (Ch.10 Supp Mat)
Bindoff, N.L., P.A. Stott, K.M. AchutaRao, M.R. Allen, N. Gillett, D. Gutzler, K. Hansingo, G. Hegerl, Y. Hu, S. Jain, I.I. Mokhov, J. Overland, J. Perlwitz, R. Sebbari and X. Zhang, 2013:Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Chapter 11
Kirtman, B., S.B. Power, J.A. Adedoyin, G.J. Boer, R. Bojariu, I. Camilloni, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A.M. Fiore, M. Kimoto, G.A. Meehl, M. Prather, A. Sarr, C. Schär, R. Sutton, G.J. van Oldenborgh, G. Vecchi and H.J. Wang, 2013: Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Chapter 12
Collins, M., R. Knutti, J. Arblaster, J.-L. Dufresne, T. Fichefet, P. Friedlingstein, X. Gao, W.J. Gutowski, T. Johns, G. Krinner, M. Shongwe, C. Tebaldi, A.J. Weaver and M. Wehner, 2013:Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Chapter 14 (Ch.14 Supp Mat)
Christensen, J.H., K. Krishna Kumar, E. Aldrian, S.-I. An, I.F.A. Cavalcanti, M. de Castro, W. Dong, P. Goswami, A. Hall, J.K. Kanyanga, A. Kitoh, J. Kossin, N.-C. Lau, J. Renwick, D.B. Stephenson, S.-P. Xie and T. Zhou, 2013: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis.Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

----------------------------------------

Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability

ARCCSS Authors and Expert Reviewers:

Hamish Clarke, Donna Green, Neil Holbrook, David Karoly, Scott Power, Will Steffen, Penny Whetton.

SPM (Summary for Policy Makers):

IPCC, 2014: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field, C.B., V.R. Barros, D.J. Dokken, K.J. Mach, M.D. Mastrandrea, T.E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K.L. Ebi, Y.O. Estrada, R.C. Genova, B. Girma, E.S. Kissel, A.N. Levy, S. MacCracken, P.R. Mastrandrea, and L.L. White (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1-32.

Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects (Ch 1–20)

IPCC, 2014: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field, C.B., V.R. Barros, D.J. Dokken, K.J. Mach, M.D. Mastrandrea, T.E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K.L. Ebi, Y.O. Estrada, R.C. Genova, B. Girma, E.S. Kissel, A.N. Levy, S. MacCracken, P.R. Mastrandrea, and L.L. White (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1132 pp.

Part B: Regional Aspects (Ch 21–30)

IPCC, 2014: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part B: Regional Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Barros, V.R., C.B. Field, D.J. Dokken, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, T.E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K.L. Ebi, Y.O. Estrada, R.C. Genova, B. Girma, E.S. Kissel, A.N. Levy, S. MacCracken, P.R. Mastrandrea, and L.L. White (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 688 pp.

 

CONFERENCE PAPERS

Evans, J. P., C. Lee, D. Argueso, F. Ji, A. Di Luca, R. Olson, and M. Riley, 2014: Regional climate change projections for use in impacts and adaptation research in south-east Australia.Engineers Australia Convention 2014 Practical Responses to Climate Change.

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