Storm cloud

Research program: The effects of tropical convection on Australia's climate

Convection is the atmospheric phenomenon that leads to upward and downward air motions, producing most clouds and rain.  It can be shallow and produce little rain, or reach all the way to the lower stratosphere and produce heavy rains, as well as thunder and lightning.  Deep convection in the Tropics can be triggered by very subtle influences, and drives atmospheric wind systems that can affect the weather or climate thousands of kilometres away. Convective processes are also often critical in extreme weather events, such as tropical cyclones and hail storms.

While the processes of convection are broadly understood there remain significant gaps in our knowledge. These gaps have made it impossible for weather and climate models to provide reliable predictions of precipitation, particularly where convection is a dominant process.

The Centre will conduct a fundamental re-examination of convection processes that when completed should substantially improve the physical foundation of climate models. This has the potential to lead to significant improvements in the ability of climate models to reliably simulate rainfall over key regions in Australia over a variety of time scales.

This will help us predict changes to precipitation in important regions and put in place infrastructure to adapt to changes in the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events.

Chief Investigators

Partner Investigators

  • Dr Harry Hendon (CAWCR-BoM)
  • Dr Peter May (CAWCR-BoM)
  • Dr Wojciech Grabowski (National Centre for Atmospheric Research, USA)
  • Dr Sandrine Bony (Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, France)

Latest news

Queensland floods (Wikimedia Commons) Triple whammy: ocean warming, La Niña, and cyclone produced Queensland floods
17 May 2012
A record La Niña event coupled with tropical cyclone Tasha generated most of the record deluge of rain that devastated much of Queensland in December 2010, but a new study has found that another big culprit was also in play - record high sea-surface temperatures off northern Australia.

World from space (NASA) Air pollution may be driving expansion of tropics - black carbon and near-surface ozone most likely culprits
17 May 2012
Man-made pollutants are likely to be pushing the boundary of the tropics further polewards in the Northern Hemisphere according to new research by a team of scientists.

Australia (NASA) 1000 years of climate data confirms Australia's warming
17 May 2012
In the first study of its kind in Australasia, scientists used 27 natural climate records to create the first large-scale temperature reconstruction for the region over the last 1000 years.

More news >>

Latest blog entries

Tornado John Allen's storm chasing: entry 1
17 May 2012
Is it time to leave yet?

Sunset Jackson Tan's Maldives research: entry 10
09 November 2011
And so here I am in the Male International Airport, waiting to board my plane back home. It was a wild ride on the 50-seater from Gan to Male, though I should've expected that from radar and satellite images revealing intense convective activity there over the past few days.

Centre logo Jackson Tan's Maldives research: entry 9
03 November 2011
The radars deployed here on Gan Island run 24/7 until the end of the DYNAMO field campaign in March next year. Consequently, every day is a working day. This is the nature of fieldwork.

More blogs >>

Smoke stack

The Science of Climate Change: Questions and Answers

Co-authored by Professor Steven Sherwood and Professor Matt England, this new Academy of Science report aims to summarise and clarify the current understanding of the science of climate change for non-specialist readers.

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Sea surface temperature model. Credit: NASA-Goddard Space Flight Center Scientific Visualization Studio

How climate scientists develop climate models

When commentators dismiss climate models as “merely models” it means they have failed to grasp how important models of all kinds have become to many parts of our daily life.

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Ocean weather

Global Warming: Science and the Message

Has science done enough to tell people what climate change actually is? UNSW's Dr Ben Newell on the psychology of global warming.

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To live within Earth's limits cover image

To live within Earth's limits

A recent report released by the Australian Academy of Science asserts that in order to respond effectively to the many contemporary challenges faced by the Earth’s environment, a new integrated approach to studying Earth System Science is needed.

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