Publications 2015

This publication list is ordered alphabetically by lead author. To obtain a copy of any of these publications contact the relevant team member via the Centre Team page.

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2015

BOOK CHAPTER

Erhardt, R. and S. A. Sisson, In Press: Modelling extremes using approximate Bayesian computation Extreme Value Modelling and Risk Analysis: Methods and Applications, D. Dey and J. Yan, Eds., Chapman & Hall/CRC Press.

Green, D. and L. Webb, 2015: Climate Change, Health and Well-being in Indigenous Australia. . Healthy People, Places and Planet, Eds Butler, Dixon and Capon (ANU Press)
 

CONFERENCE PAPER

Sharples, J., A. Kiss, J. Raposo, D. Viegas, and C. Simpson, 2015: Pyrogenic vorticity from windward and lee slope fires. In T. Weber, M. McPhee, and R. Anderssen, editors, MODSIM2015, 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, pages 291–297, December 2015.

 

JOURNAL ARTICLE

Abram, N. J., B. C. Dixon, M. G. Rosevear, B. Plunkett, M. K. Gagan, W. S. Hantoro, and S. J. Phipps, 2015: Optimised coral reconstructions of the Indian Ocean Dipole. Paleoceanography, 30, 1391-1405. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015PA002810.

Abramowitz, G. and C. H. Bishop, 2015: Climate model dependence and the Ensemble Dependence Transformation of CMIP projections. Journal of Climate, 28, 2332-2348. http://10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00364.1.

Ackerley, D., D. Berry, C. Jakob, M. J. Reeder, and J. Schwendike, 2015: Summertime precipitation over northern Australia in AMIP simulations from CMIP5. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141, 1753-1768. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.2476.

Aiken, C. M., A. Santoso, S. McGregor, and M. H. England, 2015: Optimal forcing of ENSO either  side of the 1970’s climate shift and its implications for predictability. Climate Dynamics, 45, 47-65. http://10.1007/s00382-014-2300-8.

Alexander, K. and S. M. Easterbrook, 2015: The software architecture of climate models: a graphical comparison of CMIP5 and EMICAR5 configurations. Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 1221-1232. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-1221-2015.

Alexander, K., K. J. Meissner, and T. J. Bralower, 2015: Sudden spreading of corrosive bottom water during the Palaeocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum. Nature Geoscience, 8, 458-461. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2430.

Andrys, J., T. J. Lyons, and J. Kala, 2015: Multi-decadal Evaluation of WRF Downscaling Capabilities Over Western Australia in Simulating Rainfall and Temperature Extremes. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 54, 370-394. http://10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0212.1.

Anwar, M. R., D. L. Liu, R. Farquharson, I. Macadam, A. Abadi, J. Finlayson, B. Wan, and T. Ramilan, 2015: Climate change impacts on phenology and yields of five broadacre crops at four climatologically distinct locations in Australia. Agricultural Systems, 132, 133-144. http://10.1016/j.agsy.2014.09.010.

Aoki, S., G. Mizuta, H. Sasaki, Y. Sasai, S. R. Tinroul, and N. L. Bindoff, 2015: Atlantic–Pacific asymmetry of subsurface temperature change and frontal response of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current for the recent three decades. Journal of Oceanography, 71, 623-636. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10872-015-0284-6.

Argueso, D., J. P. Evans, A. J. Pitman, and A. Di Luca, 2015: Effects of city expansion on heat stress under climate change conditions. PLoS ONE, 10, e0117066. http://10.1371/journal.pone.0117066

Avila, F. B., S. Dong, K. P. Menang, J. Rajczak, M. Renom, M. G. Donat, and L. V. Alexander, 2015: Systematic investigation of gridding-related scaling effects on annual statistics of daily temperature and precipitation maxima: A case study for south-east Australia. Weather and Climate Extremes, 9, 6-16

Azorin-Molina, C., S. M. Vicente-Serrano, A. Sanchez-Lorenzo, T. R. McVicar, E. Morán-Tejeda, J. Revuelto, A. El Kenawy, N. Martín-Hernández, and M. Tomas-Burguera, 2015: Atmospheric evaporative demand observations, estimates and driving factors in Spain (1961–2011). Journal of Hydrology, 523, 262-277. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.046.

Bagniewski, W., K. J. Meissner, L. Menviel, and C. E. Brennan, 2015: Quantification of factors impacting seawater and calcite δ18O during Heinrich Stadials 1 and 4. Paleoceanography, 30, 895-911

Barria, P., K. J. Walsh, M. C. Peel, and D. J. Karoly, 2015: Uncertainties in runoff projections in southwestern Australian catchments using a global climate model with perturbed physics. Journal of Hydrology, 529, 184-199. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.07.040.

Batehup, R., S. McGregor, and A. J. E. Gallant, 2015: The influence of non-stationary teleconnections on palaeoclimate reconstructions of ENSO variance using a pseudoproxy framework. Climate of the Past, 11, 1733-1749. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-1733-2015.

Benthuysen, J., L. T. Thomas, and S. J. Lentz, 2015: Rapid generation of upwelling at a shelf break caused by buoyancy shutdown. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 45, 294. http://10.1175/JPO-D-14-0104.1.

Bergemann, M., C. Jakob, and T. P. Lane, 2015: Global Detection and Analysis of Coastline-Associated Rainfall Using an Objective Pattern Recognition Technique. Journal of Climate, 28, 7225-7236. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0098.1.

Best, M. J., G. Abramowitz, H. R. Johnson, A. J. Pitman, G. Balsamo, A. Boone, M. Cuntz, B. Decharme, P. A. Dirmeyer, J. Dong, M. Ek, Z. Guo, V. Haverd, B. J. J. van den Hurk, G. S. Nearing, C. Pak, C. Peters-Lidard, J. A. Santanello, L. Stevens, and N. Vuichard, 2015: The plumbing of land surface models. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16, 1425-1442

Biastoch, A., J. V. Durgadoo, A. K. Morrison, E. van Sebille, W. Weijer, and S. M. Griffies, 2015: Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation covaries with Agulhas leakage. Nature Communications, 6, 10082. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms10082.

Birch, C. E., M. Roberts, L. Garcia-Carreras, D. Ackerley, M. J. Reeder, A. Lock, and R. Schiemann, 2015: Sea-Breeze Dynamics and Convection Initiation: The Influence of Convective Parameterization in Weather and Climate Model Biases. Journal of Climate, 28, 8093-8108. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00850.1.

Black, M. T., D. J. Karoly, and A. D. King, 2015: The contribution of anthropogenic forcing to the Adelaide and Melbourne heatwaves of January 2014. [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2014 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, S144-S148

Black, M. T. and T. P. Lane, 2015: An improved diagnostic for summertime rainfall along the eastern seaboard of Australia. International Journal of Climatology, 35, 4480-4492. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4300.

Bony, S., B. Stevens, D. M. W. Frierson, C. Jakob, M. Kageyama, R. Pincus, T. G. Shepherd, S. C. Sherwood, A. P. Siebesma, A. H. Sobel, M. Watanabe, and M. J. Webb, 2015: Clouds, circulation and climate sensitivity. Nature Geoscience, 8, 261-268. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2398.

Brown, J. N., C. Langlais, and A. S. Gupta, 2015: Projected sea surface temperature changes in the equatorial Pacific relative to the Warm Pool edge. Deep Sea Research Part II, 113, 47-58. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2014.10.022.

Cai, W., G. Wang, A. Santoso, M. J. McPhaden, L. Wu, F.-F. Jin, A. Timmermann, M. Collins, G. A. Vecchi, M. Lengaigne, M. H. England, D. Dommenget, K. Takahashi, and E. Guilyardi, 2015: Increased frequency of extreme La Nina events under greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change, 5, 132-137. http://10.1038/nclimate2492.

Catto, J. L., C. Jakob, and N. Nicholls, 2015: Can the CMIP5 models represent winter frontal precipitation? Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 8596-8604. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066015.

Cetina-Heredia, P., M. Roughan, E. van Sebille, M. Feng, and M. A. Coleman, 2015: Strengthened currents override the effect of warming on lobster larval dispersal & survival. Global Change Biology, 21, 4377-4386. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13063.

Chapman, C. C., A. M. Hogg, A. E. Kiss, and S. R. Rintoul, 2015: The dynamics of Southern Ocean storm tracks. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 42, 884-903. http://10.1175/JPO-D-14-0075.1.

Choudhury, D., A. Sharma, B. Sivakumar, A. S. Gupta, and R. Mehrotra, 2015: On the predictability of SSTA indices from CMIP5 decadal experiments. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 074013

Chubb, T. H., M. J. Manton, S. T. Siems, A. D. Peace, and S. P. Bilish, 2015: Estimation of wind-induced losses from a precipitation gauge network in the Australian Snowy Mountains. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16, 2619-2638. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0216.1.

Ciasto, L. M., G. R. Simpkins, and M. H. England, 2015: Teleconnections between Tropical Pacific SST Anomalies and Extratropical Southern Hemisphere Climate. Journal of Climate, 28, 56-65. http://10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00438.1.

Contractor, S., L. V. Alexander, M. G. Donat, and N. Herold, 2015: How Well Do Gridded Datasets of Observed Daily Precipitation Compare over Australia? Advances in Meteorology, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/325718.

Cowan, T., W. Cai, B. Ng, and M. England, 2015: The response of the Indian Ocean dipole asymmetry to anthropogenic aerosols and greenhouse gases. Journal of Climate, 28, 2564-2583. http://10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00661.1.

De Kauwe, M. G., J. Kala, Y. S. Lin, A. J. Pitman, B. E. Medlyn, R. A. Duursma, G. Abramowitz, Y. P. Wang, and D. G. Miralles, 2015: A test of an optimal stomatal conductance scheme within the CABLE land surface model. Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 431-452. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-431-2015.

Decker, M., A. J. Pitman, and J. Evans, 2015: Diagnosing the seasonal land-atmosphere coupling strength over Northern Australia: dependence on soil moisture state and coupling strength definition. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19, 3433-3447. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3433-2015.

Dittus, A. J., D. J. Karoly, S. C. Lewis, and L. V. Alexander, 2015: A Multiregion Assessment of Observed Changes in the Areal Extent of Temperature and Precipitation Extremes. Journal of Climate, 28, 9206-9220. http://http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00753.1.

Dobbie, B. and D. Green, 2015: Australians are not equally protected from industrial air pollution. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 055001. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/055001.

Dommenget, D., 2015: A simple model perturbed physics study of the simulated climate sensitivity uncertainty and its relation to control climate biases. Climate Dynamics, 1-21. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2591-4.

Dorrestijn, J., D. T. Crommelin, A. P. Siebesma, H. J. J. Jonker, and C. Jakob, 2015: Stochastic Parameterization of Convective Area Fractions with a Multicloud Model Inferred from Observational Data. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72, 854-869. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0110.1.

Downes, S. M., W. Weijer, N. Jeffery, M. Mazloff, and J. Russell, 2015: Southern Ocean dynamics and biogeochemistry in a changing climate: Introduction and overview. Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography, 114, 1-2. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2015.02.013.

England, M. H., J. B. Kajtar, and N. Maher, 2015: Robust warming projections despite the recent hiatus. Nature Climate Change, 5, 394-396. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2575.

Evans, K., J. W. Young, S. Nicol, D. Kolody, V. Allain, J. Bell, J. N. Brown, A. Ganachaud, A. J. Hobday, B. Hunt, J. Innes, A. S. Gupta, E. van Sebille, R. Kloser, T. Patterson, and A. Singh, 2015: Optimising fisheries management in relation to tuna catches in the western central Pacific Ocean: A review of research priorities and opportunities. Marine Policy, 59, 94-104. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.05.003.

Fogwill, C. J., S. J. Phipps, C. S. M. Turney, and N. R. Golledge, 2015: Sensitivity of the Southern Ocean to enhanced regional Antarctic Ice Sheet meltwater input. Science Advances, 3, 317-329

Fogwill, C. J., C. S. M. Turney, D. K. Hutchinson, A. S. Taschetto, and M. H. England, 2015: Obliquity Control On Southern Hemisphere Climate During The Last Glacial. Scientific Reports, 5. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep11673.

Forryan, A., A. C. Naveira Garabato, K. L. Polzin, and S. Waterman, 2015: Rapid injection of near-inertial shear into the stratified upper ocean at an Antarctic Circumpolar Current front. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 3431-3441. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GL063494.

Frankcombe, L. M., M. H. England, M. E. Mann, and B. A. Steinmann, 2015: Separating Internal Variability from the Externally Forced Climate Response. Journal of Climate, 28, 8184-8202. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0069.1.

Frankcombe, L. M., S. McGregor, and M. H. England, 2015: Robustness of the modes of Indo-Pacific sea level variability. Climate Dynamics, 45, 1281-1298. http://10.1007/s00382-014-2377-0.

Freeman, E., L. C. Skinner, A. Tisserand, T. Dokken, A. Timmermann, L. Menviel, and T. Friedrich, 2015: An Atlantic–Pacific ventilation seesaw across the last deglaciation. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 424, 237-244. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2015.05.032.

Frey, W., R. Schofield, P. Hoor, D. Kunkel, F. Ravegnani, A. Ulanovsky, S. Viciani, F. D'Amato, and T. P. Lane, 2015: The impact of overshooting deep convection on local transport and mixing in the tropical upper troposphere/lower stratosphere (UTLS). Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 15, 6467-6486. http://10.5194/acp-15-6467-2015.

Froyland, G., C. Horenkamp, V. Rossi, and E. van Sebille, 2015: Studying an Agulhas ring's long-term pathway and decay with finite-time coherent sets. Chaos, 25, 083119. http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.4927830

Garzoli, S. L., S. Dong, R. A. Fine, C. S. Meinen, R. C. Perez, C. Schmid, E. van Sebille, and Q. Yao, 2015: The fate of the Deep Western Boundary Current in the South Atlantic. . Deep Sea Research Part I, 103, 125-136. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2015.05.008.

Goldie, J., S. C. Sherwood, D. Green, and L. Alexander, 2015: Temperature and humidity effects on hospital morbidity in Darwin, Australia. Annals of Global Health, 81, 333-41. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aogh.2015.07.003.

Gottschalk, J., L. C. Skinner, S. Misra, C. Waelbroeck, L. Menviel, and A. Timmermann, 2015: Abrupt changes in the southern extent of North Atlantic Deep Water during Dansgaard–Oeschger events. Natural Geoscience, 8, 950-954. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2558.

Graham, F. S., J. N. Brown, A. T. Wittenberg, and N. J. Holbrook, 2015: Reassessing conceptual models of ENSO. Journal of Climate, 28, 9121-9142. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00812.1.

Graham, R. M., A. M. De Boer, E. van Sebille, K. E. Kohfeld, and C. Schlosser, 2015: Inferring source regions and supply mechanisms of iron in the Southern Ocean from satellite chlorophyll data. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 104, 9-25. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2015.05.007.

Gray, S., 2015: Culture clash or ties that bind? What Australian academics think of professional staff. Journal of Higher Education Policy and Management, 37, 545-557. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1360080X.2015.1079397.

Gray, S., 2015: What do Australian academics think of professional staff and what should we do about it? . Tertiary Education Management Conference 2015, I. Dobson and R. Sharma, Eds., 103-114.

Green, D., H. Bambrick, P. Tait, J. Goldie, R. Schultz, L. Webb, L. Alexander, and A. Pitman, 2015: Differential Effects of Temperature Extremes on Hospital Admission Rates for Respiratory Disease between Indigenous and Non-Indigenous Australians in the Northern Territory. International Journal of Environmental Research on Public Health, 12, 15352-15365. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph121214988.

Grose, M. R., J. Bhend, D. Argueso, M. Ekstrom, A. J. Dowdy, P. Hoffmann, J. P. Evans, and B. Timbal, 2015: Comparison of various climate change projections of eastern Australian rainfall. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 65, 72-89

Grose, M. R., M. T. Black, J. S. Risbey, and D. J. Karoly, 2015: Attribution of exceptional mean sea level pressure anomalies south of Australia in August 2014. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, S158-162

Guerschman, J. P., P. F. Scarth, T. R. McVicar, L. J. Renzullo, T. J. Malthus, J. B. Stewart, J. E. Rickards, and R. Trevithick, 2015: Assessing the effects of site heterogeneity and soil properties when unmixing photosynthetic vegetation, non-photosynthetic vegetation and bare soil fractions from Landsat and MODIS data. Remote Sensing of Environment, 161, 12-26. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2015.01.021.

Hande, L. B., D. H. Lenschow, S. T. Siems, and M. J. Manton, 2015: An evaluation of COSMIC radio occultation data in the lower atmosphere over the Southern Ocean. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 97-107. http://10.5194/amt-8-97-2015.

Harris, R. M. B., O. Carter, L. Gilfedder, L. L. Porfirio, G. Lee, and N. L. Bindoff, 2015: Noah’s Ark Conservation Will Not Preserve Threatened Ecological Communities under Climate Change PLoS ONE, 10

Haughton, N., G. Abramowitz, A. J. Pitman, and S. J. Phipps, 2015: Weighting climate model ensembles for mean and variance estimates. Climate Dynamics, 45, 3169-3181. http://10.1007/s00382-015-2531-3.

Hirsch, A. L., A. J. Pitman, J. Kala, R. Lorenz, and M. G. Donat, 2015: Modulation of land use change impacts on temperature extremes via land-atmosphere coupling over Australia. Earth Interactions, 19, 1-24. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/EI-D-15-0011.1.

Hobbs, W., N. L. Bindoff, and M. N. Raphael, 2015: New perspectives on observed and simulated late Antarctic sea ice extent trends using optimal fingerprinting techniques. Journal of Climate, 28, 1543-1560. http://10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00367.1.

Hogg, A. M., M. P. Meredith, D. P. Chambers, P. Abrahamsen, C. W. Hughes, and A. K. Morrison, 2015: Recent trends in the Southern Ocean eddy field. Journal of Geophysical Research, 120, 257-267. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014JC010470.

Howard, E., A. M. C. Hogg, S. N. Waterman, and D. P. Marshall, 2015: The injection of zonal momentum by buoyancy forcing in a Southern Ocean model. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 45, 259-271. http://10.1175/JPO-D-14-0098.1.

Hu, D., L. Wu, W. Cai, A. S. Gupta, A. Ganachaud, B. Qiu, A. L. Gordon, X. Lin, Z. Chen, S. Hu, G. Wang, Q. Wang, J. Sprintall, T. Qu, Y. Kashino, F. Wang, and W. Kessler, 2015: Pacific western boundary currents and their roles in climate. Nature, 522, 299-308. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature14504.

Huang, Y., C. N. Franklin, S. T. Siems, M. J. Manton, T. Chubb, A. Lock, S. Alexander, and A. Klekociuk, 2015: Evaluation of Boundary Layer Cloud Forecasts over the Southern Ocean in a Limited-area Numerical Weather Prediction System using In-situ, Space-borne and Ground-based Observations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141, 2259-2276. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.2519.

Huang, Y., A. Protat, S. T. Siems, and M. J. Manton, 2015: A-Train Observations of Maritime Mid-latitude Storm-track Cloud Systems: Comparing the Southern Ocean against the North Atlantic. Journal of Climate, 28, 1920-1939s. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00169.1.

Hutchinson, D. K., M. H. England, A. M. Hogg, and K. Snow, 2015: Interhemispheric Asymmetry of Warming in an Eddy Permitting Coupled Sector Model. Journal of Climate, 28, 7385-7406. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0014.1.

Kajtar, J. B., A. Santoso, M. H. England, and W. Cai, 2015: Indo-Pacific Climate Interactions in the Absence of an Indonesian Throughflow. Journal of Climate, 28, 5017-5029. http://10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00114.1.

Kala, J., J. Andrys, T. J. Lyons, I. J. Foster, and B. J. Evans, 2015: Sensitivity of WRF to driving data and physics options on a seasonal time-scale for the southwest of Western Australia. Climate Dynamics, 44, 633-659. http://10.1007/s00382-014-2160-2.

Kala, J., M. G. De Kauwe, A. J. Pitman, R. Lorenz, B. E. Medlyn, Y. Wang, -P., Y. S. Lin, and G. Abramowitz, 2015: Implementation of an optimal stomatal conductance scheme in the Australian Community Climate Earth Systems Simulator (ACCESS1.3b). Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 3877-3889. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3877-2015.

Kala, J., J. P. Evans, and A. Pitman, 2015: Influence of antecedent soil moisture conditions on the synoptic meteorology of the Black Saturday bushfire event in southeast Australia. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141, 3118-3129

Keating, S. R. and K. S. Smith, 2015: Upper ocean flow statistics estimated from superresolved sea-surface temperature images. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 120, 1197-1214. http://10.1002/2014JC010357.

Kim, S.-T., R. M. Parinussa, Y. Y. Liu, F. M. Johnson, and A. Sharma, 2015: A framework for combining multiple soil moisture retrievals based on maximizing temporal correlation. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 6662-6670. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064981.

King, A. D., M. T. Black, D. J. Karoly, and M. G. Donat, 2015: Increased likelihood of Brisbane G20 heat event due to anthropogenic climate change. [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2014 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, S141-S144

King, A. D., M. G. Donat, L. V. Alexander, and D. Karoly, 2015: The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5. Climate Dynamics, 44, 2623-2635. http://10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8.

King, A. D., M. G. Donat, E. M. Fischer, E. Hawkins, K. Alexander, D. J. Karoly, A. J. Dittus, S. C. Lewis, and S. E. Perkins, 2015: The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 094015

King, A. D., G. J. van Oldenborgh, D. J. Karoly, S. C. Lewis, and H. M. Cullen, 2015: Attribution of the record high Central England Temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences. Environmental Research Letters, 10. http://10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054002.

King, M. J., M. C. Wheeler, and T. P. Lane, 2015: Association of convection with the 5-day Rossby-Haurwitz wave. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72, 3309-3321

Klotzbach, P. J. and E. C. J. Oliver, 2015: Modulation of Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity by the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) from 1905-2011. Journal of Climate, 28, 204-217. http://10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00509.1.

Klotzbach, P. J. and E. C. J. Oliver, 2015: Variations in global tropical cyclone activity and the Madden-Julian Oscillation since the midtwentieth century. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 4199-4207. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GL063966.

Kravitz, B., A. Robock, S. Tilmes, O. Boucher, J. M. English, P. J. Irvine, A. Jones, M. G. Lawrence, M. MacCracken, H. Muri, J. C. Moore, U. Niemeier, S. J. Phipps, J. Sillmann, T. Storelvmo, H. Wang, and S. Watanabe, 2015: The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (GeoMIP6): Simulation Design and Preliminary Results. Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 3379-3392. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3379-2015, 2015.

Kvale, K. F., K. J. Meissner, and D. P. Keller, 2015: Potential increasing dominance of heterotrophy in the global ocean. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 74009-74017

Kvale, K. F., K. J. Meissner, D. P. Keller, M. Eby, and A. Schmittner, 2015: Explicit Planktic Calcifiers in the University of Victoria Earth System Climate Model, Version 2.9. Atmosphere-Ocean, 53, 332-350. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1049112.

Lane, T. P. and M. W. Moncrieff, 2015: Long-Lived Mesoscale Systems in a Low–Convective Inhibition Environment. Part I: Upshear Propagation. Journal of Atmospheric Science, 72, 4297-4318. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0073.1.

Lee, J., Y. Fan, and S. A. Sisson, 2015: Bayesian threshold selection for extremal models using measures of surprise. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 85, 84-99. http://10.1016/j.csda.2014.12.004.

Lewis, S. C. and D. J. Karoly, 2015: Are estimates of anthropogenic and natural influences on Australia’s extreme 2010–2012 rainfall model-dependent? Climate Dynamics, 45, 679-695. http://10.1007/s00382-014-2283-5.

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REPORTS

Arblaster, J., I. Jubb, K. Braganza, L. V. Alexander, D. J. Karoly, and R. Colman, 2015: Weather extremes and climate change - The science behind the attribution of climatic events. http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/climatechange/docs/Weather_Extremes_Report-FINAL.pdf

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